Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.4% in Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? — $26.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $162.
Leading outcome
No
98%
A 98.4% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.6 pts7D −1.0 pts30D −10.2 pts
No98.4%
Yes1.7%
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since June 24, 2026: 71.0% – 98.4% · Opened at 93.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
Category
Out, Romania, Politics, Elections, Romania Government
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$26.4K
Volume (24h)
$162
Liquidity
$13.3K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 98.4%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.4%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.6 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -10.2 pts.

Since June 24, 2026, No has traded between 71.0% and 98.4%. It opened at 93.0% and last traded at 98.4%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202697.4%
Oct 18, 202697.4%
Oct 19, 202697.4%
Oct 20, 202697.4%
Oct 22, 202697.7%
Oct 23, 202697.8%
Oct 24, 202698.4%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 98.4%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No98¢98.4%+0.6 pts$26.4K100.0%
Yes2¢1.7%-0.6 pts$26.4K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$26.4K has been traded on this event in total, $162 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicușor Dan ceases to be the President of Romania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nicușor Dan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,000 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Light-HygienicNo3,000$3.0K
Tremendous-DivideYes1,040$17
Attractive-YarmulkeYes500$8
Attached-ScheduleYes317$5
Nice-NieceNo300$295
Essential-DiaristYes250$4
0x2fb9e19c…Yes248$4
Kaleidoscopic-OuthouseYes240$4
Belated-GlueYes238$4
Villainous-CrookNo233$229

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $294 at 98.0%SELL No — $228 at 92.3%BUY No — $158 at 98.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:50 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$158
Oct 20, 09:50 PM ETYesBUY2.6%$2
Oct 20, 01:20 PM ETYesSELL2.0%$1
Oct 20, 01:20 PM ETYesSELL2.1%$8
Oct 18, 10:35 AM ETYesSELL2.0%$2
Oct 18, 10:35 AM ETYesSELL2.2%$4
Oct 17, 06:09 PM ETYesSELL2.1%$2
Oct 17, 06:09 PM ETYesSELL2.1%$5
Oct 15, 04:34 AM ETNoBUY98.0%$294
Oct 14, 07:04 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.4%. Next is Yes at 1.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nicusor-dan-out-as-president-of-romania-in-2026-20260622232316805?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026??

$26.4K in total volume, with $162 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 98.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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