As of October 24, 2026, 08:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 75,000-80,000 at 21.6% in Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026 — $24.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 75,000-80,000, is priced at 21.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +10.7 pts; past week: -19.6 pts; past month: +19.1 pts.
Since June 10, 2026, 75,000-80,000 has traded between 2.5% and 46.8%. It opened at 46.0% and last traded at 10.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 41.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 41.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 41.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 41.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 10.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 10.9% |
75,000-80,000 is favored at 21.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75,000-80,000 | 22¢ | 21.6% | +10.7 pts | $7.9K | 33.0% |
| 65,000-70,000 | 20¢ | 19.6% | — | $637 | 2.7% |
| <55,000 | 15¢ | 14.9% | — | $1.3K | 5.3% |
| 70,000-75,000 | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $11.7K | 48.8% |
| 60,000-65,000 | 12¢ | 12.1% | — | $777 | 3.2% |
| 55,000-60,000 | 11¢ | 11.0% | — | $424 | 1.8% |
| 85,000+ | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $677 | 2.8% |
| 80,000-85,000 | 6¢ | 5.7% | — | $584 | 2.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 21¢ / ask 22¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$24.0K has been traded on this event in total, $512 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,033 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x737dcdd9… | Yes | 1,033 | $223 |
| Incompatible-Edition | No | 721 | $565 |
| Unlucky-Comparison | No | 401 | $314 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 392 | $307 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 386 | $83 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 100 | $22 |
| Rotten-Raisin-Finger | No | 68 | $54 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 50 | $11 |
| Advanced-Mailer | No | 50 | $39 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 31 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.1% | $14 |
| Oct 23, 09:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 09:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.9% | $38 |
| Oct 23, 09:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.9% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.6% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 09:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $99 |
| Oct 23, 09:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $204 |
| Oct 21, 09:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 12:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 10:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.1% | $36 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 75,000-80,000 at 21.6%. Next is 65,000-70,000 at 19.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nikkei-225-close-price-end-of-2026?via=bro
$24.0K in total volume, with $512 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/.
75,000-80,000, priced at 21.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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