As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 2.6% in No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...? — $30.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 2.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.3 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -8.3 pts.
Since June 30, 2026, December 31 has traded between 2.3% and 75.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 2.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2.4% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 2.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 2.4% |
December 31 is favored at 2.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 3¢ | 2.6% | +0.3 pts | $16.5K | 53.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30.9K has been traded on this event in total, $86 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,107 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shameful-Cinnamon | No | 2,107 | $2.1K |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 1,562 | $41 |
| Trusty-Lip | Yes | 825 | $22 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 749 | $20 |
| Better-Goodness | Yes | 557 | $15 |
| Punctual-Mime | No | 494 | $481 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 455 | $443 |
| Spectacular-File | No | 390 | $380 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 259 | $7 |
| Useless-Marker | No | 247 | $241 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 03:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.8% | $1.5K |
| Oct 22, 04:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $391 |
| Oct 22, 04:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $24 |
| Oct 21, 06:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $177 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 2.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/no-confidence-vote-against-spain-pm-sanchez-by-june-30?via=bro
$30.9K in total volume, with $86 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 2.6% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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