As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Anita Earls (D) at 84.0% in North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner — $4.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Anita Earls (D), is priced at 84.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +5.5 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, Anita Earls (D) has traded between 44.0% and 84.0%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 84.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 84.0% |
Anita Earls (D) is favored at 84.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anita Earls (D) | 84¢ | 84.0% | +1.0 pts | $3.2K | 71.2% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sarah Stevens (R) | 16¢ | 16.5% | +4.0 pts | $1.3K | 28.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 82¢ / ask 86¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.5K has been traded on this event in total, $815 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 468 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 468 | $393 |
| Cheery-Science | No | 400 | $64 |
| Natural-Enterprise | Yes | 306 | $257 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 211 | $34 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 190 | $30 |
| Winding-Columnist | Yes | 142 | $120 |
| Long-Term-Overhead | No | 100 | $16 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 55 | $9 |
| Those-Skywalk | Yes | 50 | $42 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 49 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.9% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 05:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 09:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:28 AM ET | No | SELL | 16.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $79 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 09:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.0% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 09:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Anita Earls (D) at 84.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/north-carolina-supreme-court-election-winner?via=bro
$4.5K in total volume, with $815 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Anita Earls (D), priced at 84.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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