As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Person A at 50.0% in Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner — $9.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Person A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Person A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gintautas Kindurys | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $2.4K | 27.1% |
| Vladislav Kondratovič | 18¢ | 18.0% | -9.0 pts | $857 | 9.5% |
| Antanas Šakalis | 12¢ | 11.6% | -0.8 pts | $731 | 8.1% |
| Dalia Štraupaitė | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $755 | 8.4% |
| Ignotas Adomavičius | 6¢ | 6.0% | -1.0 pts | $2.2K | 24.5% |
| Nikolajus Lebedevičius | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $717 | 8.0% |
| Giedrius Dainys | 4¢ | 4.5% | -0.8 pts | $221 | 2.5% |
| Maksimas Paukštė | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.2 pts | $239 | 2.7% |
| Mėta Palauskaitė | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.9 pts | $311 | 3.5% |
| Viktor Voronin | 2¢ | 2.3% | -0.4 pts | $217 | 2.4% |
| Andrej Šildiajėv | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $308 | 3.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.0K has been traded on this event in total, $50 of it in the last 24 hours, across 38 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 08, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
Resolution source: https://www.vrk.lt/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 269 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 269 | $135 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 74 | $37 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 61 | $30 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 49 | $24 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 26 | $13 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Sniveling-Yogurt | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 06:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 06:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 06:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 06:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $35 |
| Oct 23, 04:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 12:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.7% | $504 |
| Oct 23, 12:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $98 |
| Oct 22, 08:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Person A at 50.0%. Next is Person B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$9.0K in total volume, with $50 traded in the last 24 hours across 38 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 08, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.vrk.lt/.
Person A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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