As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Nothing at 94.0% in Nothing Ever Happens: Obama — $12.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Nothing, is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.3 pts; past month: +0.5 pts.
Since February 11, 2026, Nothing has traded between 76.0% and 98.0%. It opened at 90.0% and last traded at 94.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 93.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.0% |
Nothing is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing | 94¢ | 94.0% | — | $12.2K | 100.0% |
| Something | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $12.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Obama federally charged - Obama arrested - Obama divorce Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,601 shares of Something.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy-Flair | Something | 1,601 | $97 |
| Slim-Hake | Nothing | 1,083 | $1.0K |
| Usable-Linseed | Nothing | 492 | $462 |
| Spotted-Chasuble | Something | 285 | $17 |
| 0x8931aa50… | Nothing | 271 | $255 |
| Slushy-Walkway | Something | 238 | $14 |
| Single-Challenge | Nothing | 192 | $180 |
| Jam-Packed-Peace | Something | 118 | $7 |
| Decisive-Ejector | Nothing | 111 | $105 |
| Another-Alias | Nothing | 104 | $98 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:29 PM ET | Nothing | BUY | 94.8% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 04:55 AM ET | Nothing | BUY | 94.8% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 01:45 PM ET | Nothing | SELL | 92.5% | $6 |
| Sep 30, 06:31 PM ET | Nothing | BUY | 94.8% | $1 |
| Sep 22, 09:25 PM ET | Nothing | BUY | 94.8% | $20 |
| Sep 22, 10:51 AM ET | Something | BUY | 7.8% | $1 |
| Aug 31, 03:11 PM ET | Nothing | BUY | 95.5% | $1 |
| Aug 31, 01:58 PM ET | Nothing | SELL | 91.5% | $6 |
| Aug 29, 01:39 AM ET | Something | BUY | 8.5% | $8 |
| Aug 28, 02:28 AM ET | Nothing | SELL | 91.5% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Nothing at 94.0%. Next is Something at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-obama?via=bro
$12.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Nothing, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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