As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Nuevo León Governor Election Winner — $61.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adrián de la Garza Santos | 32¢ | 32.5% | +2.5 pts | $12.8K | 20.9% |
| Clara Luz Flores Carrales | 25¢ | 25.4% | -2.8 pts | $6.0K | 9.7% |
| Mariana Rodríguez Cantú | 19¢ | 19.0% | +1.1 pts | $18.2K | 29.6% |
| Miguel Flores Serna | 18¢ | 17.9% | +17.0 pts | $717 | 1.2% |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 15¢ | 14.7% | +9.8 pts | $4.0K | 6.6% |
| Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla | 6¢ | 5.6% | -4.2 pts | $792 | 1.3% |
| Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo | 5¢ | 4.8% | +0.5 pts | $3.6K | 5.9% |
| Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez | 4¢ | 3.5% | +1.6 pts | $664 | 1.1% |
| Andrés Mijes Llovera | 3¢ | 3.3% | +2.2 pts | $1.8K | 2.9% |
| Carlos de la Fuente Flores | 3¢ | 2.6% | -1.5 pts | $374 | 0.6% |
| Martha Herrera González | 2¢ | 2.0% | +0.1 pts | $726 | 1.2% |
| Félix Arratia Cruz | 2¢ | 1.9% | -0.5 pts | $411 | 0.7% |
| Waldo Fernández González | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $1.3K | 2.1% |
| Arturo Salinas Garza | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $856 | 1.4% |
| Judith Díaz Delgado | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $934 | 1.5% |
| Jesús Alberto Elizondo | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.1 pts | $431 | 0.7% |
| Raúl Lozano Caballero | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $496 | 0.8% |
| Fernando Margáin Berlanga | 1¢ | 0.5% | +0.3 pts | $391 | 0.6% |
| Héctor García García | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.4K | 2.2% |
| Daniel Carrillo Martínez | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $5.1K | 8.3% |
| Annia Gómez Cárdenas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $420 | 0.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$61.4K has been traded on this event in total, $138 of it in the last 24 hours, across 48 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,232 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,232 | $616 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 594 | $297 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 160 | $80 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 148 | $74 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 107 | $54 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 85 | $43 |
| Glossy-Believer | Yes | 70 | $35 |
| Giant-Otter-Recruit | Yes | 51 | $25 |
| Jovial-Remains-Scarf | Yes | 6 | $3 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 80.3% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 12:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 79.7% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.7% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 12:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 06:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 03:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.7% | $12 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nuevo-leon-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$61.4K in total volume, with $138 traded in the last 24 hours across 48 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.