Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30, 2026 at 16.0% in Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...? — $7.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $377.
Leading outcome
November 30, 2026
16%
A 16.0% price implies roughly a 16-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.0 pts
November 30, 202616.0%
October 31, 20269.0%
Bid
14¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
4¢
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Range since October 20, 2026: 18.0% – 23.5% · Opened at 23.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...?
Category
World, France, Politics, France Riots
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$7.6K
Volume (24h)
$377
Liquidity
$53.3K
Markets
3
Leading outcome
November 30, 2026 — 16.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, November 30, 2026, is priced at 16.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts.

Since October 20, 2026, November 30, 2026 has traded between 18.0% and 23.5%. It opened at 23.5% and last traded at 18.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

November 30, 2026 is favored at 16.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
November 30, 202616¢16.0%-2.0 pts$2.0K25.8%
October 31, 20269¢9.0%-0.9 pts$4.6K61.1%
October 25, 20261¢0.9%-3.4 pts$98813.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 18¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$7.6K has been traded on this event in total, $377 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Laurent Nuñez ceases to be Minister of the Interior of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Laurent Nuñez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Laurent Nuñez offering to resign where the offer is refused, or continuing to run the ministry in a caretaker capacity after a government resigns, will not resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Laurent Nuñez and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 955 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Verifiable-ObstacleNo955$802
Insidious-EarthquakeYes320$51
Hidden-BafflementYes286$46
Belated-GlueYes200$32
Creamy-BraceYes125$20
Abandoned-MusicianYes30$5
Uncommon-Gutter-StanceNo25$21
Apt-AntecedentYes20$3
Absolute-Cockpit-DungareesNo20$17
Plump-ImplementationYes10$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $652 at 68.3%SELL No — $155 at 86.0%BUY No — $96 at 96.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:06 PM ETNoBUY81.0%$16
Oct 24, 05:53 PM ETYesSELL1.0%$1
Oct 24, 03:29 PM ETNoBUY98.5%$13
Oct 24, 03:29 PM ETYesSELL1.5%$0
Oct 24, 03:29 PM ETYesSELL1.5%$0
Oct 24, 03:29 PM ETYesSELL3.4%$3
Oct 24, 03:29 PM ETNoBUY97.2%$39
Oct 24, 01:09 PM ETYesBUY10.5%$5
Oct 24, 11:06 AM ETYesBUY9.9%$5
Oct 24, 06:59 AM ETYesBUY21.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30, 2026 at 16.0%. Next is October 31, 2026 at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nunez-out-as-french-interior-minister-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...??

$7.6K in total volume, with $377 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

November 30, 2026, priced at 16.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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