As of October 24, 2026, 09:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Up at 58.5% in NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 26? — $7 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Up, is priced at 58.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +10.5 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, Up has traded between 50.0% and 58.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 58.5%.
Up is favored at 58.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 58¢ | 58.5% | +10.5 pts | $7 | 100.0% |
| Down | 42¢ | 41.5% | -10.5 pts | $7 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7 has been traded on this event in total, $7 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on October 26, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2 shares of Up.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unpleasant-Distinction | Up | 2 | $1 |
| Impractical-Gorilla-Supreme | Down | 2 | $1 |
| 0xfdbdb192… | Up | 2 | $1 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | Down | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:16 AM ET | Up | BUY | 55.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:16 AM ET | Down | BUY | 53.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:11 AM ET | Down | BUY | 53.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:11 AM ET | Up | BUY | 55.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Up at 58.5%. Next is Down at 41.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nvda-up-or-down-on-october-26-2026?via=bro
$7 in total volume, with $7 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Up, priced at 58.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.