As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 71.5% in Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings? — $175 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 71.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: +7.0 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 59.0% and 68.0%. It opened at 63.0% and last traded at 67.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 68.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 68.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 67.5% |
Yes is favored at 71.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 72¢ | 71.5% | +4.0 pts | $175 | 100.0% |
| No | 28¢ | 28.5% | -4.0 pts | $175 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 75¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$175 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, NXP Semiconductors is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for NXP Semiconductors’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.18 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NXP Semiconductors reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $4.18 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If NXP Semiconductors releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/NXPI/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 60 | $43 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 39 | $28 |
| Frosty-Funding | No | 28 | $8 |
| Sunny-Smoking | No | 20 | $6 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 20 | $6 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 20 | $6 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 10 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 08:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 07:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $10 |
| Oct 20, 06:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 64.0% | $9 |
| Oct 19, 02:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $13 |
| Oct 17, 07:29 PM ET | No | SELL | 42.0% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 07:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $6 |
| Oct 17, 07:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $6 |
| Oct 17, 07:29 PM ET | No | SELL | 44.0% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 01:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.0% | $6 |
| Oct 17, 01:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 58.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 71.5%. Next is No at 28.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nxpi-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-27-2026-4pt18?via=bro
$175 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/NXPI/earnings.
Yes, priced at 71.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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