As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 40-59 at 77.8% in NYC Mayor # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026? — $4.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 40-59, is priced at 77.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +21.6 pts; past week: +67.8 pts.
Since October 17, 2026, 40-59 has traded between 3.6% and 75.0%. It opened at 10.0% and last traded at 75.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 3.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 4.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 24.3% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 23.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 57.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 75.0% |
40-59 is favored at 77.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-59 | 78¢ | 77.8% | +21.6 pts | $194 | 4.5% |
| 20-39 | 22¢ | 22.2% | -25.3 pts | $2.7K | 62.0% |
| 60-79 | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $107 | 2.5% |
| 100-119 | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $50 | 1.2% |
| 120-139 | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $50 | 1.2% |
| 140-159 | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $50 | 1.2% |
| 80-99 | 1¢ | 1.0% | -0.1 pts | $50 | 1.2% |
| 160-179 | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $46 | 1.1% |
| 180-199 | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $46 | 1.1% |
| 200+ | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $46 | 1.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 40¢ (bid 58¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.3K has been traded on this event in total, $964 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/NYCMayor
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 112 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 112 | $25 |
| Admirable-Consulate | Yes | 51 | $40 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 43 | $34 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino | Yes | 40 | $31 |
| Descriptive-Brewer | No | 40 | $9 |
| 0xe3a0bbf1… | No | 20 | $4 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 14 | $11 |
| Each-Caliber | Yes | 8 | $6 |
| Serpentine-Destiny | No | 6 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 42.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.5% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 05:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 42.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 04:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 58.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 02:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 34.2% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 02:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.1% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 02:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.1% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 12:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 40-59 at 77.8%. Next is 20-39 at 22.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026?via=bro
$4.3K in total volume, with $964 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/NYCMayor.
40-59, priced at 77.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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