As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 20-39 at 51.0% in NYC Mayor # posts October 23 - October 30, 2026? — $1.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 20-39, is priced at 51.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, 20-39 has traded between 49.5% and 80.0%. It opened at 71.5% and last traded at 49.5%.
20-39 is favored at 51.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-39 | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.5 pts | $449 | 35.6% |
| 160-179 | 48¢ | 48.1% | -1.8 pts | $42 | 3.3% |
| 180-199 | 47¢ | 47.3% | -2.6 pts | $42 | 3.3% |
| 60-79 | 44¢ | 44.0% | -5.9 pts | $42 | 3.3% |
| 40-59 | 10¢ | 10.0% | +1.0 pts | $210 | 16.7% |
| <20 | 2¢ | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $57 | 4.5% |
| 100-119 | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $242 | 19.2% |
| 200+ | 1¢ | 0.5% | -49.4 pts | $42 | 3.3% |
| 80-99 | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $58 | 4.6% |
| 120-139 | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $38 | 3.0% |
| 140-159 | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $38 | 3.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 58¢ (bid 22¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.3K has been traded on this event in total, $19 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 23, 12:00 PM ET and October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/NYCMayor
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 86 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 86 | $42 |
| Everlasting-Visit | Yes | 84 | $43 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 52 | $25 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 45 | $22 |
| Meager-Chive | Yes | 42 | $21 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino | Yes | 34 | $17 |
| Rubbery-Fondue-Cuckoo | No | 20 | $10 |
| Downright-Bed-Harald | Yes | 15 | $8 |
| Descriptive-Brewer | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 9 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 12:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 05:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $39 |
| Oct 23, 05:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.1% | $39 |
| Oct 23, 02:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.1% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 08:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 09:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.2% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 06:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 06:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is 20-39 at 51.0%. Next is 160-179 at 48.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayor-of-tweets-october-23-october-30-2026?via=bro
$1.3K in total volume, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/NYCMayor.
20-39, priced at 51.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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