As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 92.5% in NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? — $133.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 92.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -3.0 pts.
Since November 07, 2025, No has traded between 72.5% and 93.0%. It opened at 72.5% and last traded at 92.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.5% |
No is favored at 92.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 92.5% | — | $133.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $133.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$133.2K has been traded on this event in total, $42 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 9,835 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Admired-Role | No | 9,835 | $9.1K |
| Gregarious-Fraction-Lion | Yes | 6,611 | $496 |
| Bland-Flag | Yes | 5,547 | $416 |
| Nutty-Musician | No | 4,802 | $4.4K |
| Forthright-Challenge | No | 4,523 | $4.2K |
| Blaring-Surge | No | 4,515 | $4.2K |
| Advanced-Airmail | No | 3,660 | $3.4K |
| Torn-Forebear | Yes | 3,449 | $259 |
| Zealous-Dogwood | Yes | 3,326 | $249 |
| Cheery-Preparation | Yes | 1,991 | $149 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 06:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 08:02 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 04:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 10:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $118 |
| Oct 21, 09:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 01:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $15 |
| Oct 20, 10:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 02:03 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $107 |
| Oct 19, 03:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $27 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 92.5%. Next is Yes at 7.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nyse-marketwide-circuit-breaker-before-2027?via=bro
$133.2K in total volume, with $42 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 92.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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