As of October 24, 2026, 08:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Barbara Lee at 94.0% in Oakland Mayoral Election — $3.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Barbara Lee, is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: +4.5 pts.
Since July 29, 2026, Barbara Lee has traded between 86.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 94.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.5% |
Barbara Lee is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbara Lee | 94¢ | 94.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.3K | 75.3% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Brenda Grisham | 5¢ | 5.2% | +0.9 pts | $740 | 24.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.0K has been traded on this event in total, $100 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 474 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 474 | $445 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 169 | $10 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 162 | $10 |
| Liquid-Argument | Yes | 157 | $148 |
| Superb-Diet | No | 120 | $7 |
| Outlandish-Complicity | Yes | 108 | $102 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 108 | $6 |
| Raw-Contributor | Yes | 98 | $92 |
| Tangible-Fuel | No | 65 | $4 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 64 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 01:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.2% | $46 |
| Oct 22, 10:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 05:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 5.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 09:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 04:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 04:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 04:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 04:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 04:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Barbara Lee at 94.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oakland-mayoral-election-20260727195943309?via=bro
$3.0K in total volume, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Barbara Lee, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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