As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.8% in Obama federally charged before 2027? — $11.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.1 pts; past month: -0.7 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 68.0% and 97.3%. It opened at 85.5% and last traded at 95.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.8% |
No is favored at 95.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 95.8% | +0.1 pts | $11.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.1 pts | $11.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,401 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 1,401 | $1.3K |
| Narrow-Penguin | Yes | 955 | $41 |
| Unaware-Jackal | No | 771 | $738 |
| Worrisome-Electrocardiogram | Yes | 604 | $26 |
| Ill-Informed-Disability | Yes | 566 | $24 |
| Female-Media | Yes | 468 | $20 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 | No | 371 | $355 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 335 | $321 |
| Vengeful-Glockenspiel | Yes | 201 | $9 |
| Whimsical-Kilogram | Yes | 200 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 10:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $58 |
| Oct 08, 04:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.2% | $1 |
| Oct 08, 04:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.4% | $1 |
| Oct 08, 04:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 12:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.4% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 12:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.6% | $192 |
| Oct 03, 07:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $0 |
| Oct 03, 06:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $0 |
| Oct 03, 05:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $6 |
| Oct 02, 03:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.8%. Next is Yes at 4.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/obama-federally-charged-before-2027?via=bro
$11.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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