As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 36-39 at 98.7% in Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats? — $60.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 36-39, is priced at 98.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +73.0 pts; past month: +82.0 pts.
Since August 27, 2026, 36-39 has traded between 3.0% and 98.7%. It opened at 42.5% and last traded at 98.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 8.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 41.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 42.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.7% |
36-39 is favored at 98.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36-39 | 99¢ | 98.7% | — | $19.6K | 32.4% |
| 40-43 | 1¢ | 1.3% | — | $14.0K | 23.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$60.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 05, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolution source: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,167 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| mrworldwide | Yes | 5,167 | $5.1K |
| Athletic-Curiosity | No | 3,216 | $42 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,133 | $41 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino | Yes | 582 | $575 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 238 | $3 |
| Nautical-Percent | Yes | 232 | $229 |
| Bountiful-Dirndl-Stepson | Yes | 125 | $124 |
| Knowing-Kit | Yes | 113 | $111 |
| Harmful-Raincoat-Godfather | No | 104 | $1 |
| Winged-Nation | Yes | 96 | $95 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 04:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.0% | $79 |
| Oct 22, 10:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 08:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.0% | $108 |
| Oct 22, 08:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 12:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.2% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 09:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:14 AM ET | No | BUY | 2.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 09:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.8% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 05:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 05:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $34 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 36-39 at 98.7%. Next is 40-43 at 1.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/of-seats-won-by-plq-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election?via=bro
$60.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 05, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca.
36-39, priced at 98.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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