Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:03 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 60-64 at 75.0% in Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats? — $33.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $5.
Leading outcome
60-64
75%
A 75.0% price implies roughly a 75-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.7 pts7D +54.0 pts30D +58.5 pts
60-6475.0%
55-5913.4%
Bid
51¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
47¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 27, 2026: 4.0% – 75.1% · Opened at 20.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?
Category
World, Canada, Politics, Elections, Main Election, World Elections, Global Elections
Scheduled end
October 05, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$33.3K
Volume (24h)
$5
Liquidity
$912
Markets
2
Leading outcome
60-64 — 75.0%
Resolution source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 60-64, is priced at 75.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.7 pts; past week: +54.0 pts; past month: +58.5 pts.

Since August 27, 2026, 60-64 has traded between 4.0% and 75.1%. It opened at 20.5% and last traded at 75.1%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202620.9%
Oct 18, 202621.2%
Oct 19, 202615.6%
Oct 20, 202615.2%
Oct 23, 202674.2%
Oct 24, 202675.1%
Oct 24, 202675.1%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

60-64 is favored at 75.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
60-6475¢75.0%+0.7 pts$4.7K14.0%
55-5913¢13.4%+10.7 pts$5.1K15.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 47¢ (bid 51¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$33.3K has been traded on this event in total, $5 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 05, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Resolution source: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,302 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,302$326
Blissful-Gymnastics-DevelopmentYes384$288
Cultured-Twist-HogYes310$233
Growling-KohlrabiYes198$148
Harmful-Raincoat-GodfatherYes181$136
Belated-GlueNo177$44
Close-StepgrandfatherYes163$122
Surprised-SatireYes106$79
Probable-Moon-LawyerNo74$18
Past-LaboratoryYes73$54

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $642 at 97.9%BUY No — $276 at 90.0%BUY Yes — $258 at 90.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 12:08 PM ETYesBUY2.4%$0
Oct 23, 05:09 PM ETYesBUY3.6%$1
Oct 23, 04:23 PM ETYesBUY7.1%$3
Oct 23, 03:43 PM ETYesBUY95.5%$24
Oct 23, 02:05 PM ETYesSELL71.7%$71
Oct 23, 12:13 PM ETNoSELL4.5%$1
Oct 23, 12:08 PM ETYesBUY1.3%$0
Oct 23, 12:07 PM ETNoBUY8.4%$4
Oct 23, 11:52 AM ETNoBUY2.5%$1
Oct 23, 11:52 AM ETYesBUY98.3%$20

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 60-64 at 75.0%. Next is 55-59 at 13.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/of-seats-won-by-pq-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats??

$33.3K in total volume, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 05, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca.

What is the most likely outcome of Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?, according to Polymarket traders?

60-64, priced at 75.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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