Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

OH-13 House Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Emilia Sykes (D) at 95.8% in OH-13 House Election Winner — $45.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Emilia Sykes (D)
96%
A 95.8% price implies roughly a 96-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +0.3 pts30D −0.5 pts
Emilia Sykes (D)95.8%
Carey Coleman (R)2.2%
Bid
95¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since December 16, 2025: 44.0% – 98.4% · Opened at 48.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
OH-13 House Election Winner
Category
Midterms, House Elections, Ohio Midterm, US Election, Key House Races, Politics, Elections, Nov 4 Elections
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$45.8K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$59.1K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
Emilia Sykes (D) — 95.8%
Resolution source
https://www.fec.gov/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Emilia Sykes (D), is priced at 95.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.3 pts; past month: -0.5 pts.

Since December 16, 2025, Emilia Sykes (D) has traded between 44.0% and 98.4%. It opened at 48.0% and last traded at 95.8%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202695.9%
Oct 16, 202695.8%
Oct 18, 202695.5%
Oct 19, 202695.5%
Oct 20, 202695.8%
Oct 22, 202695.8%
Oct 23, 202695.8%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Emilia Sykes (D) is favored at 95.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Emilia Sykes (D)96¢95.8%—$11.6K25.3%
Carey Coleman (R)2¢2.2%-0.1 pts$34.2K74.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$45.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Resolution source: https://www.fec.gov/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,594 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No3,594$153
SnowLover7Yes2,959$2.8K
Angelic-Enemy-WeederYes690$661
Snappy-RoosterNo393$17
Arctic-KickoffYes192$184
0xad4c0293…Yes190$182
Firsthand-EagletNo146$6
Active-TableYes144$138
Prickly-EyrieNo139$6
Crazy-FishmongerYes96$92

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $1.1K at 99.8%BUY No — $166 at 97.8%BUY No — $105 at 99.2%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 09:12 AM ETNoBUY97.8%$166
Oct 22, 07:44 AM ETYesSELL94.6%$34
Oct 22, 07:44 AM ETYesSELL2.3%$1
Oct 22, 04:55 AM ETYesBUY3.0%$1
Oct 21, 10:50 PM ETYesBUY2.3%$9
Oct 21, 09:56 PM ETNoBUY5.4%$2
Oct 21, 06:47 PM ETYesBUY96.7%$9
Oct 21, 06:47 PM ETYesBUY96.7%$25
Oct 21, 06:46 PM ETYesBUY96.7%$25
Oct 21, 06:46 PM ETYesBUY96.7%$25

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of OH-13 House Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Emilia Sykes (D) at 95.8%. Next is Carey Coleman (R) at 2.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oh-13-house-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on OH-13 House Election Winner?

$45.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does OH-13 House Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.fec.gov/.

What is the most likely outcome of OH-13 House Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Emilia Sykes (D), priced at 95.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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