As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Sherrod Brown (D) at 83.0% in Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner — $10.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Sherrod Brown (D), is priced at 83.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +16.5 pts.
Since September 28, 2026, Sherrod Brown (D) has traded between 54.5% and 83.0%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 83.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 68.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.0% |
Sherrod Brown (D) is favored at 83.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod Brown (D) | 83¢ | 83.0% | +1.5 pts | $5.7K | 52.0% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jon Husted (R) | 16¢ | 16.0% | -1.0 pts | $5.2K | 48.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 82¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.9K has been traded on this event in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Mahoning County in the special election for United States Senator from Ohio, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Ohio, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Mahoning County.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 522 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reckless-Estrogen-Competence | Yes | 522 | $433 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 437 | $74 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 430 | $73 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | Yes | 384 | $318 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 198 | $34 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 77 | $64 |
| Rubbery-Policy | Yes | 74 | $61 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 69 | $12 |
| Shiny-Jury | Yes | 51 | $42 |
| Creamy-Geology | No | 34 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 11:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.0% | $99 |
| Oct 24, 06:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 14.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 05:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 81.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Sherrod Brown (D) at 83.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner?via=bro
$10.9K in total volume, with $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Sherrod Brown (D), priced at 83.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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