Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Sherrod Brown (D) at 83.0% in Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner — $10.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.1K.
Leading outcome
Sherrod Brown (D)
83%
A 83.0% price implies roughly a 83-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.5 pts7D +16.5 pts
Sherrod Brown (D)83.0%
Person A50.0%
Bid
82¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since September 28, 2026: 54.5% – 83.0% · Opened at 58.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner
Category
Midterms, Politics, Elections, US Election, Ohio Midterm, Senate
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$10.9K
Volume (24h)
$1.1K
Liquidity
$39.9K
Markets
13
Leading outcome
Sherrod Brown (D) — 83.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Sherrod Brown (D), is priced at 83.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +16.5 pts.

Since September 28, 2026, Sherrod Brown (D) has traded between 54.5% and 83.0%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 83.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202666.5%
Oct 18, 202670.5%
Oct 19, 202669.5%
Oct 20, 202668.0%
Oct 22, 202680.5%
Oct 23, 202681.5%
Oct 24, 202683.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Sherrod Brown (D) is favored at 83.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Sherrod Brown (D)83¢83.0%+1.5 pts$5.7K52.0%
Person A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Jon Husted (R)16¢16.0%-1.0 pts$5.2K48.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 82¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$10.9K has been traded on this event in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Mahoning County in the special election for United States Senator from Ohio, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Ohio, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Mahoning County.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 522 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Reckless-Estrogen-CompetenceYes522$433
0xa5ef39c3…No437$74
Belated-GlueNo430$73
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayYes384$318
Prickly-EyrieNo198$34
Straight-WrinkleYes77$64
Rubbery-PolicyYes74$61
Gleaming-HandlebarNo69$12
Shiny-JuryYes51$42
Creamy-GeologyNo34$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $429 at 82.1%BUY Yes — $214 at 71.3%SELL Yes — $99 at 84.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:47 PM ETNoSELL83.0%$17
Oct 24, 11:26 AM ETYesSELL84.0%$99
Oct 24, 06:30 AM ETNoBUY16.0%$2
Oct 24, 06:26 AM ETYesSELL84.0%$0
Oct 24, 06:00 AM ETNoSELL14.0%$0
Oct 24, 06:00 AM ETNoSELL14.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:00 AM ETNoBUY18.0%$4
Oct 24, 06:00 AM ETYesBUY19.0%$4
Oct 24, 06:00 AM ETYesBUY17.0%$13
Oct 24, 05:58 AM ETYesSELL81.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Sherrod Brown (D) at 83.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner?

$10.9K in total volume, with $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.

When does Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Sherrod Brown (D), priced at 83.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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