As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $1.20-$1.30T at 47.4% in OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026? — $32.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $1.20-$1.30T, is priced at 47.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.8 pts; past week: +42.2 pts; past month: +37.5 pts.
Since August 25, 2026, $1.20-$1.30T has traded between 3.1% and 51.9%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 51.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 5.3% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 4.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 6.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 29.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 51.9% |
$1.20-$1.30T is favored at 47.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.20-$1.30T | 47¢ | 47.4% | -6.8 pts | $3.5K | 10.8% |
| $1.30T+ | 38¢ | 37.9% | -1.9 pts | $4.7K | 14.7% |
| $1.10-$1.20T | 5¢ | 5.1% | +4.4 pts | $3.9K | 12.2% |
| $900B-$1.00T | 2¢ | 1.9% | +0.1 pts | $6.3K | 19.5% |
| $1.00-$1.10T | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $7.3K | 22.7% |
| $600-$700B | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $1.6K | 4.9% |
| $800-$900B | 1¢ | 0.5% | +0.2 pts | $1.6K | 5.1% |
| <$600B | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $1.9K | 6.0% |
| $700-$800B | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $1.3K | 4.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 44¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$32.1K has been traded on this event in total, $922 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 01:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for the last trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,254 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,254 | $659 |
| Immaterial-Secretariat | Yes | 658 | $312 |
| Unwilling-Evocation | Yes | 200 | $95 |
| Teeming-Puppet | Yes | 195 | $93 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 148 | $70 |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 119 | $56 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 86 | $45 |
| Oddball-Cofactor | Yes | 85 | $40 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 80 | $42 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | No | 77 | $41 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 45.1% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 04:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 45.3% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 42.2% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 04:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.5% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 11:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.7% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 09:24 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $1.20-$1.30T at 47.4%. Next is $1.30T+ at 37.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/openais-valuation-end-of-october-2026?via=bro
$32.1K in total volume, with $922 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 01:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data.
$1.20-$1.30T, priced at 47.4% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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