As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $100M at 8.5% in Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $6.93M traded so far.
The leading outcome, $100M, is priced at 8.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: +0.3 pts; past month: -13.4 pts.
Since March 08, 2026, $100M has traded between 8.2% and 91.3%. It opened at 74.0% and last traded at 8.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 8.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 8.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 8.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 8.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 8.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 8.5% |
$100M is favored at 8.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 8¢ | 8.5% | -0.4 pts | $166.7K | 2.4% |
| $500M | 8¢ | 8.1% | -0.1 pts | $2.31M | 33.3% |
| $100M | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $321.7K | 4.6% |
| $300M | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $93.7K | 1.4% |
| $1B | 6¢ | 6.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.15M | 30.9% |
| $3B | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.2 pts | $837.4K | 12.1% |
| $2B | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.9 pts | $558.9K | 8.1% |
| $5B | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $499.8K | 7.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.93M has been traded on this event in total, $1.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,961 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dear-Instant | No | 10,961 | $10.0K |
| Subdued-Revenant | No | 8,961 | $8.2K |
| Hasty-Saucer | Yes | 5,800 | $493 |
| Unhappy-Silence | Yes | 5,753 | $489 |
| Well-Informed-Bakeware | No | 5,638 | $5.2K |
| Numb-Video | No | 2,622 | $2.4K |
| Unused-Sauerkraut | Yes | 2,000 | $170 |
| Brave-Pine | Yes | 1,996 | $170 |
| Humming-Inventory | Yes | 1,886 | $160 |
| Bony-Gate | Yes | 1,836 | $156 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.6% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 02:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.7% | $69 |
| Oct 24, 06:22 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.3% | $669 |
| Oct 23, 08:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 08:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $169 |
| Oct 23, 08:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $28 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $100M at 8.5%. Next is $500M at 8.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$6.93M in total volume, with $1.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
$100M, priced at 8.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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