As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 19.0% in Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...? — $6.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 19.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -10.5 pts.
Since October 19, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 19.0% and 35.5%. It opened at 35.5% and last traded at 19.0%.
June 30, 2027 is favored at 19.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 19¢ | 19.0% | -10.5 pts | $4.4K | 73.4% |
| December 31, 2026 | 14¢ | 14.5% | -9.5 pts | $1.6K | 26.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 16¢ / ask 22¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.0K has been traded on this event in total, $771 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation, or its rating on Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt, to below investment grade ("junk") by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." "Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating or Moody's Ratings' long-term issuer rating on Oracle Corporation. "Below investment grade" means BB+ or lower on the S&P Global Ratings scale, or Ba1 or lower on the Moody's Ratings scale. A downgrade of Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt to below investment grade by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation remains investment grade. A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 311 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Authorized-Mandolin | No | 311 | $252 |
| Ideal-Penalty | No | 291 | $236 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 226 | $43 |
| Evergreen-Grill | Yes | 183 | $35 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 44 | $8 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 44 | $8 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 40 | $8 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 34 | $6 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 12:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.0% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 12:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 12:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 19.0%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 14.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oracle-downgraded-to-junk-by-moodys-or-sp-by?via=bro
$6.0K in total volume, with $771 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, 2027, priced at 19.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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