Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Oregon Governor Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Tina Kotek (D) at 84.0% in Oregon Governor Election Winner — $105.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $760.
Leading outcome
Tina Kotek (D)
84%
A 84.0% price implies roughly a 84-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +8.5 pts30D −2.5 pts
Tina Kotek (D)84.0%
Christine Drazan (R)17.0%
Bid
83¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 13, 2025: 50.0% – 93.5% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Category
Oregon Midterm, Governor Elections, Midterms, Elections, Politics, US Election, Key Governor Races
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$105.9K
Volume (24h)
$760
Liquidity
$195.0K
Markets
13
Leading outcome
Tina Kotek (D) — 84.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Tina Kotek (D), is priced at 84.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +8.5 pts; past month: -2.5 pts.

Since October 13, 2025, Tina Kotek (D) has traded between 50.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 84.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202675.5%
Oct 18, 202677.5%
Oct 19, 202682.5%
Oct 20, 202681.5%
Oct 22, 202684.0%
Oct 23, 202684.0%
Oct 24, 202684.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Tina Kotek (D) is favored at 84.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Tina Kotek (D)84¢84.0%—$51.0K48.1%
Christine Drazan (R)17¢17.0%+1.0 pts$54.9K51.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$105.9K has been traded on this event in total, $760 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,679 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No7,679$1.2K
Klutzy-TroubleYes6,370$5.4K
Foolish-PeriodicalNo2,200$352
Winding-DaylightYes1,974$1.7K
Ample-InstanceYes1,656$1.4K
Feline-AsparagusNo1,533$245
Other-Pumpkinseed-CrumbNo1,329$213
Angelic-Enemy-WeederYes1,129$949
New-PennyYes1,109$931
Natural-EnterpriseYes1,061$891

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $489 at 83.0%BUY Yes — $250 at 85.0%BUY Yes — $174 at 85.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:36 PM ETNoBUY84.0%$6
Oct 24, 04:36 PM ETYesBUY85.0%$6
Oct 24, 04:36 PM ETNoSELL15.0%$1
Oct 24, 03:15 PM ETNoBUY83.0%$7
Oct 24, 03:15 PM ETNoBUY17.0%$1
Oct 24, 02:11 PM ETNoBUY17.0%$4
Oct 24, 02:11 PM ETYesBUY18.0%$4
Oct 24, 02:11 PM ETYesBUY18.0%$8
Oct 24, 02:11 PM ETNoBUY17.0%$7
Oct 24, 01:25 PM ETNoBUY17.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Oregon Governor Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Tina Kotek (D) at 84.0%. Next is Christine Drazan (R) at 17.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oregon-governor-winner-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Oregon Governor Election Winner?

$105.9K in total volume, with $760 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.

When does Oregon Governor Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Oregon Governor Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Tina Kotek (D), priced at 84.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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