As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Actor F at 50.0% in Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner — $250.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Actor F, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Actor F is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actor F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actor Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| John Malkovich | 42¢ | 42.0% | -1.8 pts | $23.7K | 9.5% |
| Andrew Scott | 19¢ | 19.0% | +0.5 pts | $25.7K | 10.3% |
| Matt Damon | 18¢ | 17.5% | +2.0 pts | $46.5K | 18.6% |
| Tom Cruise | 11¢ | 11.0% | -1.0 pts | $30.5K | 12.2% |
| Robert Pattinson | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.9 pts | $12.8K | 5.1% |
| Timothée Chalamet | 3¢ | 2.6% | +0.2 pts | $11.2K | 4.5% |
| John Turturro | 2¢ | 1.5% | -0.1 pts | $9.9K | 4.0% |
| Ryan Gosling | 1¢ | 1.1% | -0.1 pts | $9.3K | 3.7% |
| Jeremy Strong | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $10.6K | 4.2% |
| Yura Borisov | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.8 pts | $3.6K | 1.4% |
| Jaafar Jackson | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $7.7K | 3.1% |
| Anthony Ippolito | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $2.0K | 0.8% |
| Sebastian Stan | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $5.9K | 2.4% |
| Brad Pitt | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $13.4K | 5.3% |
| Pedro Pascal | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $6.1K | 2.4% |
| Adam Driver | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.0K | 2.0% |
| Javier Bardem | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.5K | 2.2% |
| Josh O'Connor | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $4.8K | 1.9% |
| Robert Aramayo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $6.5K | 2.6% |
| Sam Rockwell | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $9.5K | 3.8% |
| Mahershala Ali | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $87 | 0.0% |
| Guy Pearce | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $87 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$250.3K has been traded on this event in total, $5.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 44 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 8,313 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 8,313 | $4.2K |
| Quizzical-Arrogance | Yes | 1,643 | $822 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 827 | $414 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 701 | $350 |
| Velvety-Burn | Yes | 689 | $345 |
| Massive-Competence | Yes | 500 | $250 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 414 | $207 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 362 | $181 |
| Prestigious-Zephyr-Jail | Yes | 280 | $140 |
| Joint-Lard | Yes | 256 | $128 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 03:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.4% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 01:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 11:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.1% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 10:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 10:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 10:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $34 |
| Oct 24, 10:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $64 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Actor F at 50.0%. Next is Actor G at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-actor-winner-20260727174302919?via=bro
$250.3K in total volume, with $5.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 44 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Actor F, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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