As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Julianne Moore at 94.5% in Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations — $38.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Julianne Moore, is priced at 94.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, Julianne Moore has traded between 92.0% and 95.5%. It opened at 92.0% and last traded at 94.5%.
Julianne Moore is favored at 94.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianne Moore | 94¢ | 94.5% | — | $2.4K | 6.2% |
| Inde Navarrette | 77¢ | 77.0% | — | $3.3K | 8.6% |
| Sandra Hüller | 76¢ | 76.5% | +11.0 pts | $3.5K | 8.9% |
| Olivia Wilde | 74¢ | 73.5% | +4.5 pts | $2.2K | 5.8% |
| Renate Reinsve | 47¢ | 47.0% | -8.5 pts | $3.2K | 8.3% |
| Ruth Madeley | 44¢ | 43.5% | -2.0 pts | $792 | 2.0% |
| Virginie Efira | 40¢ | 40.0% | -4.0 pts | $4.2K | 10.9% |
| Zendaya | 31¢ | 31.2% | +19.1 pts | $1.3K | 3.3% |
| Laura Linney | 22¢ | 21.6% | +15.9 pts | $301 | 0.8% |
| Rosalind Eleazar | 14¢ | 14.5% | — | $1.6K | 4.0% |
| Emily Blunt | 10¢ | 10.4% | +1.6 pts | $2.4K | 6.2% |
| Penélope Cruz | 9¢ | 9.3% | +4.5 pts | $735 | 1.9% |
| Daisy Edgar-Jones | 9¢ | 9.2% | +0.4 pts | $1.6K | 4.2% |
| Mikey Madison | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $581 | 1.5% |
| Dakota Johnson | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.9 pts | $302 | 0.8% |
| Michelle Monaghan | 5¢ | 5.1% | +0.2 pts | $60 | 0.2% |
| Natalie Portman | 5¢ | 4.7% | -1.1 pts | $901 | 2.3% |
| Michelle Williams | 5¢ | 4.6% | -0.9 pts | $898 | 2.3% |
| Anne Hathaway | 5¢ | 4.5% | +0.1 pts | $958 | 2.5% |
| Scarlett Johansson | 5¢ | 4.5% | +1.3 pts | $646 | 1.7% |
| Cynthia Erivo | 4¢ | 3.9% | -2.1 pts | $1.8K | 4.6% |
| Sophie Okonedo | 3¢ | 3.3% | -2.1 pts | $1.7K | 4.3% |
| Shailene Woodley | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $453 | 1.2% |
| Lily Gladstone | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $673 | 1.7% |
| Joan Collins | 2¢ | 2.4% | -0.5 pts | $1.3K | 3.3% |
| Kirsten Dunst | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $976 | 2.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.8K has been traded on this event in total, $2.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 26 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 447 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheerful-Ephemera | Yes | 447 | $423 |
| Demanding-City | No | 105 | $6 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | No | 101 | $6 |
| Every-Millisecond-Dragonfly | No | 91 | $5 |
| Flat-Badger | No | 83 | $5 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 60 | $57 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 41 | $39 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 30 | $2 |
| Grim-Cob | No | 30 | $2 |
| Prestigious-Zephyr-Jail | No | 26 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.0% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 05:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 04:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 04:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 07:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $47 |
| Oct 23, 10:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 29.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 07:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 70.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 94.5%. Next is Inde Navarrette at 77.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-actress-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro
$38.8K in total volume, with $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 26 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Julianne Moore, priced at 94.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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