As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Julianne Moore at 73.0% in Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner — $157.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Julianne Moore, is priced at 73.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: +7.0 pts.
Since July 29, 2026, Julianne Moore has traded between 22.5% and 74.5%. It opened at 29.5% and last traded at 73.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.0% |
Julianne Moore is favored at 73.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianne Moore | 73¢ | 73.0% | -1.5 pts | $101.4K | 64.4% |
| Actress I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Actress Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Inde Navarrette | 18¢ | 18.0% | — | $32.0K | 20.3% |
| Sandra Hüller | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $4.0K | 2.6% |
| Renate Reinsve | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $14.5K | 9.2% |
| Virginie Efira | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $347 | 0.2% |
| Rachel Brosnahan | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $345 | 0.2% |
| Scarlett Johansson | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.4K | 0.9% |
| Ruth Madeley | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $869 | 0.6% |
| Olivia Wilde | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $148 | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Eleazar | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $120 | 0.1% |
| Cynthia Erivo | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $128 | 0.1% |
| Mikey Madison | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $120 | 0.1% |
| Léa Seydoux | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $985 | 0.6% |
| Anne Hathaway | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $128 | 0.1% |
| Emily Blunt | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $128 | 0.1% |
| Joan Collins | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $128 | 0.1% |
| Sophie Okonedo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $288 | 0.2% |
| Michelle Williams | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $444 | 0.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 72¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$157.5K has been traded on this event in total, $944 of it in the last 24 hours, across 37 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.oscars.org/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,333 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow-Prune | Yes | 10,333 | $7.5K |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 9,000 | $2.4K |
| Mixed-Unity | Yes | 4,414 | $3.2K |
| Quizzical-Arrogance | No | 3,155 | $852 |
| Ample-Instance | Yes | 2,371 | $1.7K |
| Unlined-Pole | No | 2,232 | $603 |
| United-Larder | No | 2,186 | $590 |
| 0xe636f179… | Yes | 1,979 | $1.4K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,967 | $531 |
| Respectful-Vibration | Yes | 1,081 | $789 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.7% | $161 |
| Oct 24, 12:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 12:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 09:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 12:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.1% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 05:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 04:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 04:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 04:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 03:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 73.0%. Next is Actress I at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-actress-winner-20260727174350980?via=bro
$157.5K in total volume, with $944 traded in the last 24 hours across 37 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.oscars.org/.
Julianne Moore, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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