Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations

As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price God is Shy at 64.5% in Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations — $32.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $807.
Leading outcome
God is Shy
64%
A 64.5% price implies roughly a 64-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +4.5 pts7D −4.0 pts
God is Shy64.5%
Dollhouse Elephant63.5%
Bid
40¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
49¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 15, 2026: 41.5% – 70.0% · Opened at 41.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations
Category
Awards, Movies, Oscars, Culture, Oscars 2027
Scheduled end
March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$32.3K
Volume (24h)
$807
Liquidity
$4.6K
Markets
11
Leading outcome
God is Shy — 64.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, God is Shy, is priced at 64.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts.

Since October 15, 2026, God is Shy has traded between 41.5% and 70.0%. It opened at 41.5% and last traded at 67.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202651.0%
Oct 18, 202670.0%
Oct 19, 202667.5%
Oct 20, 202669.5%
Oct 22, 202669.0%
Oct 23, 202650.0%
Oct 24, 202667.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

God is Shy is favored at 64.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
God is Shy64¢64.5%+4.5 pts$1400.4%
Dollhouse Elephant64¢63.5%+6.5 pts$1.8K5.7%
What We Leave Behind56¢56.5%+2.0 pts$1.3K4.0%
Paper Trail56¢55.5%+1.0 pts$3.1K9.7%
Because Today is Saturday55¢55.0%-2.0 pts$1.5K4.6%
Please55¢55.0%+4.0 pts$4.9K15.3%
Dog Alone50¢50.5%+1.5 pts$3.6K11.2%
Water Girl36¢36.0%-3.0 pts$1.8K5.6%
With Tapes and Toasts in the Car34¢33.5%+3.5 pts$9082.8%
Saba22¢21.5%-2.0 pts$5.2K16.0%
El Cuerpo de Cristo12¢12.5%+2.5 pts$8.0K24.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 49¢ (bid 40¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$32.3K has been traded on this event in total, $807 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Valid-PlatterYes100$64
0x03547405…No100$36
Thorough-NeighbourhoodYes40$26
Skeletal-LiverNo20$7
Plump-ImplementationNo20$7

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $283 at 70.8%SELL Yes — $244 at 43.1%BUY No — $222 at 72.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 01:13 PM ETNoBUY77.0%$38
Oct 24, 08:27 AM ETNoBUY50.0%$75
Oct 24, 12:06 AM ETYesSELL51.0%$51
Oct 23, 12:26 PM ETNoBUY49.0%$42
Oct 23, 10:17 AM ETYesBUY42.0%$36
Oct 23, 07:23 AM ETNoBUY51.0%$31
Oct 23, 05:34 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$5
Oct 23, 01:07 AM ETYesBUY15.0%$1
Oct 23, 12:36 AM ETYesSELL13.0%$2
Oct 23, 12:36 AM ETYesSELL12.8%$8

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is God is Shy at 64.5%. Next is Dollhouse Elephant at 63.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-animated-short-film-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations?

$32.3K in total volume, with $807 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.

When does Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations end?

The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations, according to Polymarket traders?

God is Shy, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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