Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price The Odyssey at 93.5% in Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations — $13.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $4.5K.
Leading outcome
The Odyssey
94%
A 93.5% price implies roughly a 94-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
The Odyssey93.5%
Dune: Part Three91.5%
Bid
93¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since October 14, 2026: 89.0% – 94.0% · Opened at 89.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations
Category
Awards, Movies, Oscars, Culture, Oscars 2027
Scheduled end
March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$13.4K
Volume (24h)
$4.5K
Liquidity
$21.9K
Markets
9
Leading outcome
The Odyssey — 93.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, The Odyssey, is priced at 93.5%.

Since October 14, 2026, The Odyssey has traded between 89.0% and 94.0%. It opened at 89.0% and last traded at 93.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202694.0%
Oct 18, 202693.5%
Oct 19, 202693.5%
Oct 20, 202693.0%
Oct 22, 202693.5%
Oct 23, 202693.5%
Oct 24, 202693.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

The Odyssey is favored at 93.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
The Odyssey94¢93.5%—$1.4K10.1%
Dune: Part Three92¢91.5%—$1511.1%
Project Hail Mary64¢64.0%-0.5 pts$1.6K12.2%
Fatherland44¢44.5%-8.0 pts$2051.5%
Werwulf38¢38.0%+5.0 pts$8.8K66.0%
Digger28¢28.0%+1.0 pts$6875.1%
Obsession16¢16.5%+2.5 pts$510.4%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth15¢15.0%—$1911.4%
Josephine11¢11.0%-3.0 pts$2822.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$13.4K has been traded on this event in total, $4.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Cinematography. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Cinematography when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 470 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Flat-BadgerYes470$439
Liquid-ArgumentNo222$14
Cool-PattypanYes100$94
Every-Millisecond-DragonflyNo91$6
Grim-GarageNo82$5
Oddball-PoisonNo58$4
Scary-Neck-VascularNo50$3
Advanced-MailerNo28$2
Belated-GlueNo20$1
Irresponsible-Chord-HunterNo17$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $1.4K at 47.9%SELL No — $1.4K at 63.5%SELL No — $469 at 67.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:52 PM ETNoSELL62.0%$124
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETNoBUY36.0%$35
Oct 24, 02:33 PM ETNoBUY32.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:49 PM ETYesSELL39.5%$80
Oct 24, 01:42 PM ETNoSELL59.0%$59
Oct 24, 01:31 PM ETNoSELL63.5%$1.4K
Oct 24, 11:59 AM ETYesSELL31.0%$18
Oct 24, 11:58 AM ETYesSELL31.0%$15
Oct 24, 10:40 AM ETNoBUY69.0%$69
Oct 24, 10:40 AM ETYesSELL32.0%$32

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 93.5%. Next is Dune: Part Three at 91.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-cinematography-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations?

$13.4K in total volume, with $4.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.

When does Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations end?

The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations, according to Polymarket traders?

The Odyssey, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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