Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price The Odyssey at 77.5% in Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations — $28.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $5.7K.
Leading outcome
The Odyssey
78%
A 77.5% price implies roughly a 78-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.0 pts7D +5.5 pts
The Odyssey77.5%
Dune: Part Three71.5%
Bid
76¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since October 15, 2026: 76.5% – 95.5% · Opened at 90.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations
Category
Awards, Movies, Oscars, Culture, Oscars 2027
Scheduled end
March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$28.1K
Volume (24h)
$5.7K
Liquidity
$6.4K
Markets
12
Leading outcome
The Odyssey — 77.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, The Odyssey, is priced at 77.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +5.5 pts.

Since October 15, 2026, The Odyssey has traded between 76.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 90.5% and last traded at 77.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202690.5%
Oct 16, 202695.5%
Oct 18, 202678.5%
Oct 19, 202676.5%
Oct 20, 202677.5%
Oct 23, 202679.5%
Oct 24, 202677.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

The Odyssey is favored at 77.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
The Odyssey78¢77.5%-2.0 pts$2.1K7.3%
Dune: Part Three72¢71.5%-1.0 pts$5512.0%
The Black Ball68¢68.5%+2.5 pts$2.2K7.8%
Sense and Sensibility64¢64.0%+2.0 pts$1.9K6.8%
I Love Boosters54¢53.5%+3.5 pts$5.8K20.6%
Werwulf44¢44.5%-2.5 pts$1.8K6.3%
The Devil Wears Prada 242¢41.5%+1.0 pts$1.2K4.3%
Digger41¢41.0%+23.5 pts$5.0K17.7%
Michael36¢36.0%—$00.0%
Wuthering Heights32¢32.5%-0.5 pts$2450.9%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21¢21.0%+10.0 pts$4.7K16.6%
Wild Horse Nine20¢20.5%-7.0 pts$2.7K9.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$28.1K has been traded on this event in total, $5.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Costume Design. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Costume Design when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 228 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueNo228$51
Trained-PicketYes222$172
Thorough-NeighbourhoodYes110$85
Gleaming-HandlebarNo100$22
Plump-ImplementationNo25$6
Apt-AntecedentYes20$16
Untimely-Shield-TroutNo11$3
Unnatural-Kitsch-RevolutionNo10$2
Creamy-GeologyYes9$7
Old-Fashioned-Handholding-ViscoseNo7$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $1.1K at 55.6%SELL No — $1.1K at 88.5%SELL No — $539 at 71.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:17 PM ETNoBUY74.0%$6
Oct 24, 06:01 PM ETYesBUY26.0%$11
Oct 24, 06:01 PM ETNoSELL78.5%$236
Oct 24, 06:01 PM ETYesBUY22.0%$11
Oct 24, 06:01 PM ETYesBUY22.0%$11
Oct 24, 06:01 PM ETYesBUY26.0%$2
Oct 24, 02:55 PM ETNoBUY40.0%$30
Oct 24, 02:50 PM ETNoSELL38.0%$38
Oct 24, 02:45 PM ETNoBUY41.0%$10
Oct 24, 02:44 PM ETNoSELL38.0%$38

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 77.5%. Next is Dune: Part Three at 71.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-costume-design-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations?

$28.1K in total volume, with $5.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.

When does Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations end?

The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations, according to Polymarket traders?

The Odyssey, priced at 77.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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