Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations

As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price You Can See Everything at 89.5% in Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations — $36.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $5.8K.
Leading outcome
You Can See Everything
90%
A 89.5% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.5 pts7D +13.0 pts
You Can See Everything89.5%
NAZA84.0%
Bid
89¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 14, 2026: 70.0% – 89.5% · Opened at 70.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
Category
Awards, Movies, Oscars, Culture, Oscars 2027
Scheduled end
March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$36.0K
Volume (24h)
$5.8K
Liquidity
$21.1K
Markets
10
Leading outcome
You Can See Everything — 89.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, You Can See Everything, is priced at 89.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +13.0 pts.

Since October 14, 2026, You Can See Everything has traded between 70.0% and 89.5%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 89.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202676.5%
Oct 18, 202675.5%
Oct 19, 202681.0%
Oct 20, 202680.5%
Oct 22, 202684.0%
Oct 23, 202687.5%
Oct 24, 202689.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

You Can See Everything is favored at 89.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
You Can See Everything90¢89.5%+1.5 pts$12.7K35.1%
NAZA84¢84.0%+0.5 pts$3.3K9.1%
American Doctor64¢63.5%+3.5 pts$2.0K5.4%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem55¢55.0%-2.0 pts$2.1K5.8%
14th44¢43.5%+0.5 pts$1.5K4.2%
One in a Million36¢35.5%+4.0 pts$3.9K10.8%
Nuisance Bear34¢34.5%+1.5 pts$3.8K10.4%
Musk34¢33.5%+4.5 pts$1.9K5.3%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party22¢22.5%-10.5 pts$3.2K8.9%
Tutu22¢22.0%+1.0 pts$1.8K4.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$36.0K has been traded on this event in total, $5.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,503 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Unwieldy-OmegaYes2,503$2.2K
Full-VariabilityNo1,626$171
Lively-CamperNo1,030$108
Stimulating-Supply-InstrumentalistYes779$698
Organic-GrandYes609$545
Gifted-RancherNo579$61
Outlandish-ComplicityNo400$42
White-SunglassesYes353$316
0xe636f179…Yes267$239
Charming-EmphasisNo250$26

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $597 at 85.6%BUY Yes — $200 at 89.4%SELL No — $179 at 78.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:23 PM ETNoBUY10.0%$4
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETYesBUY92.4%$50
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETYesBUY93.0%$46
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETYesBUY92.5%$100
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETYesBUY91.3%$20
Oct 24, 03:15 PM ETNoBUY10.3%$5
Oct 24, 03:03 PM ETYesBUY93.0%$10
Oct 24, 03:03 PM ETNoSELL8.0%$1
Oct 24, 03:03 PM ETYesBUY92.0%$10
Oct 24, 02:26 PM ETYesBUY92.3%$100

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is You Can See Everything at 89.5%. Next is NAZA at 84.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-documentary-feature-film-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations?

$36.0K in total volume, with $5.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.

When does Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations end?

The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations, according to Polymarket traders?

You Can See Everything, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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