Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price You Can See Everything at 72.5% in Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner — $44.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $375.
Leading outcome
You Can See Everything
72%
A 72.5% price implies roughly a 72-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.0 pts7D −1.0 pts
You Can See Everything72.5%
Movie C50.0%
Bid
71¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 13, 2026: 34.5% – 73.5% · Opened at 34.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Category
Awards, Movies, Oscars, Culture, Oscars 2027
Scheduled end
June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$44.6K
Volume (24h)
$375
Liquidity
$21.7K
Markets
34
Leading outcome
You Can See Everything — 72.5%
Resolution source
https://www.oscars.org/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, You Can See Everything, is priced at 72.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -1.0 pts.

Since October 13, 2026, You Can See Everything has traded between 34.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 34.5% and last traded at 72.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202673.5%
Oct 18, 202673.5%
Oct 19, 202672.5%
Oct 20, 202669.0%
Oct 23, 202673.5%
Oct 24, 202672.5%
Oct 24, 202672.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

You Can See Everything is favored at 72.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
You Can See Everything72¢72.5%-1.0 pts$8.5K19.1%
Movie C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Movie Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
NAZA20¢20.5%—$4.0K8.9%
American Doctor3¢2.5%—$12.1K27.2%
One in a Million2¢1.9%—$5.1K11.4%
Tutu2¢1.6%—$8371.9%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem1¢1.2%+0.5 pts$4.8K10.7%
Musk1¢1.1%—$1590.4%
Nuisance Bear1¢1.1%-0.3 pts$8.9K20.1%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party0¢0.5%-0.2 pts$1850.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$44.6K has been traded on this event in total, $375 of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://www.oscars.org/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,222 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,222$336
Full-VariabilityNo780$214
Fluid-Typeface-ToadYes520$377
Trained-SniffleNo421$116
Narrow-PruneYes411$298
Gifted-RancherYes302$219
Lighthearted-RelationYes274$199
Daring-PirateYes231$168
Vivacious-FondueYes220$160
Weird-CaffeineYes207$150

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $299 at 72.9%BUY No — $198 at 86.2%BUY No — $86 at 77.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:32 AM ETYesSELL72.0%$14
Oct 24, 08:31 AM ETNoBUY27.0%$10
Oct 24, 08:31 AM ETNoBUY27.0%$10
Oct 24, 08:31 AM ETNoBUY27.0%$10
Oct 24, 08:31 AM ETYesSELL73.0%$26
Oct 24, 01:53 AM ETYesBUY74.0%$43
Oct 24, 01:36 AM ETNoBUY28.0%$6
Oct 24, 01:36 AM ETNoBUY28.0%$18
Oct 23, 10:54 PM ETYesBUY74.0%$13
Oct 23, 10:54 PM ETYesBUY74.0%$13

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is You Can See Everything at 72.5%. Next is Movie C at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-documentary-feature-film-winner-1754500000000?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner?

$44.6K in total volume, with $375 traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.

When does Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.oscars.org/.

What is the most likely outcome of Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

You Can See Everything, priced at 72.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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