As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price The Baddest Speechwriter of All at 64.0% in Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations — $19.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, The Baddest Speechwriter of All, is priced at 64.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -18.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, The Baddest Speechwriter of All has traded between 45.5% and 82.0%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 64.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 64.0% |
The Baddest Speechwriter of All is favored at 64.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Baddest Speechwriter of All | 64¢ | 64.0% | -3.0 pts | $120 | 0.6% |
| One Last Order | 55¢ | 54.5% | +20.0 pts | $2.9K | 15.2% |
| Oh Whale | 44¢ | 43.5% | +1.0 pts | $3.8K | 19.7% |
| The Tuners | 44¢ | 43.5% | +13.5 pts | $20 | 0.1% |
| A Derailment | 42¢ | 41.5% | +6.0 pts | $1.4K | 7.1% |
| A Wolf in the Suburbs | 32¢ | 32.5% | +5.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Listen | 28¢ | 27.5% | -13.5 pts | $3.0K | 15.6% |
| We're Fine | 27¢ | 27.0% | +4.5 pts | $3.2K | 16.5% |
| Water Cooler | 26¢ | 26.5% | +13.5 pts | $2.0K | 10.4% |
| A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil | 26¢ | 25.5% | -24.5 pts | $2.9K | 14.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 52¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.3K has been traded on this event in total, $3.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valid-Platter | Yes | 100 | $64 |
| 0x03547405… | No | 100 | $36 |
| Thorough-Neighbourhood | Yes | 20 | $13 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 20 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 02:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 01:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 01:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 10:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 10:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 12:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 66.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 11:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $36 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is The Baddest Speechwriter of All at 64.0%. Next is One Last Order at 54.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-documentary-short-film-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro
$19.3K in total volume, with $3.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Baddest Speechwriter of All, priced at 64.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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