Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations

As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price All of a Sudden at 97.5% in Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations — $19.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.7K.
Leading outcome
All of a Sudden
98%
A 97.5% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.8 pts7D +13.0 pts
All of a Sudden97.5%
The Black Ball96.4%
Bid
97¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since October 15, 2026: 80.5% – 98.2% · Opened at 83.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations
Category
Awards, Movies, Oscars, Culture, Oscars 2027
Scheduled end
March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$19.3K
Volume (24h)
$2.7K
Liquidity
$18.6K
Markets
9
Leading outcome
All of a Sudden — 97.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, All of a Sudden, is priced at 97.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.8 pts; past week: +13.0 pts.

Since October 15, 2026, All of a Sudden has traded between 80.5% and 98.2%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 97.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202683.0%
Oct 16, 202680.5%
Oct 18, 202682.5%
Oct 19, 202683.5%
Oct 20, 202695.6%
Oct 23, 202698.2%
Oct 24, 202697.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

All of a Sudden is favored at 97.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
All of a Sudden98¢97.5%-0.8 pts$5302.7%
The Black Ball96¢96.4%-1.2 pts$3.5K18.1%
Fjord87¢87.0%+0.5 pts$3.0K15.4%
Possible Love86¢85.5%—$6633.4%
Minotaur54¢54.0%+1.5 pts$1.4K7.2%
Fatherland45¢45.0%+2.5 pts$1.5K7.7%
Rose38¢37.5%+17.5 pts$4.0K20.9%
The Dreamed Adventure14¢14.0%-2.0 pts$1951.0%
Coward14¢13.5%—$4.5K23.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$19.3K has been traded on this event in total, $2.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Measly-GelatinYes60$58
Gifted-Luck-SortYes20$20
Oddball-PoisonYes20$20
Angelic-CrawYes20$20
Belated-GlueNo20$0
Unequaled-Goal-EyebrowsNo20$0
Gripping-AbolishmentNo20$0
Creamy-GeologyNo20$0
Each-SummaryNo16$0
Double-Redesign-AlibiNo14$0

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $2.3K at 70.1%SELL No — $850 at 72.0%BUY No — $810 at 68.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:07 PM ETNoBUY40.0%$8
Oct 24, 04:07 PM ETNoBUY31.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:07 PM ETNoBUY40.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:06 PM ETNoBUY21.0%$4
Oct 24, 04:06 PM ETNoBUY26.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:06 PM ETNoBUY37.0%$3
Oct 24, 04:01 PM ETNoBUY59.0%$40
Oct 24, 04:01 PM ETYesSELL41.0%$28
Oct 24, 02:57 PM ETNoBUY59.0%$8
Oct 24, 02:57 PM ETYesSELL39.0%$8

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is All of a Sudden at 97.5%. Next is The Black Ball at 96.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-international-feature-film-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations?

$19.3K in total volume, with $2.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.

When does Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations end?

The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations, according to Polymarket traders?

All of a Sudden, priced at 97.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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