As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Werwulf at 88.5% in Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Nominations — $22.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Werwulf, is priced at 88.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: -1.0 pts.
Since October 14, 2026, Werwulf has traded between 67.0% and 91.0%. It opened at 76.5% and last traded at 91.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 91.0% |
Werwulf is favored at 88.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werwulf | 88¢ | 88.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.1K | 9.2% |
| The Odyssey | 82¢ | 82.5% | — | $977 | 4.3% |
| Digger | 72¢ | 72.5% | -1.0 pts | $50 | 0.2% |
| Wicker | 60¢ | 60.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.2K | 5.2% |
| Dune: Part Three | 59¢ | 59.0% | -1.0 pts | $2.4K | 10.9% |
| Clayface | 42¢ | 42.0% | +1.0 pts | $40 | 0.2% |
| UNABOMBER | 38¢ | 37.5% | +33.2 pts | $261 | 1.2% |
| Michael | 30¢ | 30.5% | -6.0 pts | $1.1K | 4.9% |
| Rose | 26¢ | 25.5% | +2.5 pts | $1.3K | 5.8% |
| Madden | 16¢ | 16.0% | -5.0 pts | $7.5K | 33.3% |
| The Social Reckoning | 16¢ | 15.5% | +5.0 pts | $1.7K | 7.5% |
| I Love Boosters | 16¢ | 15.5% | -3.0 pts | $1.1K | 5.0% |
| Cry to Heaven | 2¢ | 1.5% | -0.3 pts | $2.8K | 12.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 80¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$22.5K has been traded on this event in total, $5.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 904 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trained-Picket | Yes | 904 | $800 |
| Unlined-Pole | No | 305 | $35 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 216 | $25 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | No | 151 | $17 |
| Sour-Pole-Sea | No | 113 | $13 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 85 | $10 |
| Horrible-Video | No | 66 | $8 |
| 0x03547405… | No | 25 | $3 |
| Gifted-Luck-Sort | Yes | 24 | $22 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 24 | $21 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.8% | $1.9K |
| Oct 24, 02:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $574 |
| Oct 24, 02:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 02:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $79 |
| Oct 24, 02:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $240 |
| Oct 24, 02:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.2% | $316 |
| Oct 24, 10:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 09:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 08:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $36 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Werwulf at 88.5%. Next is The Odyssey at 82.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-makeup-and-hairstyling-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro
$22.5K in total volume, with $5.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Werwulf, priced at 88.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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