As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Wild Horse Nine at 90.0% in Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations — $43.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Wild Horse Nine, is priced at 90.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts; past week: -1.5 pts.
Since October 14, 2026, Wild Horse Nine has traded between 88.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 88.0% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.5% |
Wild Horse Nine is favored at 90.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wild Horse Nine | 90¢ | 90.0% | -3.5 pts | $1.6K | 3.6% |
| The Debut | 90¢ | 90.0% | +6.5 pts | $2.1K | 4.8% |
| Club Kid | 58¢ | 58.5% | +3.0 pts | $2.6K | 5.9% |
| Obsession | 54¢ | 53.5% | +4.5 pts | $778 | 1.8% |
| Fjord | 48¢ | 48.0% | +2.0 pts | $1.7K | 4.0% |
| Elsinore | 34¢ | 34.0% | +8.0 pts | $2.2K | 5.0% |
| Behemoth! | 24¢ | 24.0% | +1.5 pts | $521 | 1.2% |
| Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma | 18¢ | 18.5% | — | $3.2K | 7.3% |
| The Drama | 18¢ | 18.0% | -2.0 pts | $4.7K | 10.9% |
| Josephine | 13¢ | 13.0% | +3.5 pts | $250 | 0.6% |
| Digger | 12¢ | 12.5% | -1.5 pts | $9.4K | 21.7% |
| Fatherland | 5¢ | 5.1% | — | $527 | 1.2% |
| Forgotten Island | 4¢ | 4.4% | +1.3 pts | $7.6K | 17.6% |
| The Odyssey | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $1.7K | 3.9% |
| The Invite | 4¢ | 3.9% | — | $595 | 1.4% |
| A Place in Hell | 4¢ | 3.6% | — | $571 | 1.3% |
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 2¢ | 2.5% | -0.4 pts | $631 | 1.5% |
| The Black Ball | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $2.8K | 6.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$43.4K has been traded on this event in total, $10.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 146 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use | No | 146 | $15 |
| Flickering-Circadian | Yes | 107 | $96 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | Yes | 101 | $91 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 40 | $36 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 30 | $3 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 23 | $2 |
| Creamy-Geology | Yes | 20 | $18 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $2 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 20 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 20 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.1% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 04:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.2% | $210 |
| Oct 24, 04:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.5% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 04:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 04:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Wild Horse Nine at 90.0%. Next is The Debut at 90.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-original-screenplay-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro
$43.4K in total volume, with $10.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Wild Horse Nine, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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