As of October 24, 2026, 06:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Anne Hathaway at 88.0% in Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations — $59.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Anne Hathaway, is priced at 88.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.5 pts.
Since October 14, 2026, Anne Hathaway has traded between 87.5% and 92.5%. It opened at 92.5% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
Anne Hathaway is favored at 88.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Hathaway | 88¢ | 88.0% | — | $8.7K | 14.7% |
| Penélope Cruz | 76¢ | 76.5% | — | $6.1K | 10.3% |
| Samantha Morton | 76¢ | 76.0% | +1.0 pts | $1.9K | 3.2% |
| Tao Okamoto | 62¢ | 62.0% | -0.5 pts | $654 | 1.1% |
| Amanda Seyfried | 46¢ | 45.5% | -14.0 pts | $16.0K | 27.2% |
| Kate O'Flynn | 40¢ | 40.5% | — | $201 | 0.3% |
| Olivia Colman | 32¢ | 32.5% | +3.5 pts | $625 | 1.1% |
| Mariana di Girolamo | 28¢ | 28.5% | — | $1.7K | 2.9% |
| Sandra Hüller | 24¢ | 23.5% | -7.0 pts | $468 | 0.8% |
| Parker Posey | 21¢ | 21.0% | -0.5 pts | $11.4K | 19.2% |
| Merritt Wever | 18¢ | 17.5% | +5.5 pts | $2.5K | 4.2% |
| Gemma Chan | 12¢ | 12.0% | +3.0 pts | $982 | 1.7% |
| Danielle Deadwyler | 11¢ | 11.2% | +1.6 pts | $1.8K | 3.0% |
| Zendaya | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $5.5K | 9.3% |
| Betty Gilpin | 6¢ | 5.8% | -0.5 pts | $6 | 0.0% |
| Isabella Rossellini | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.1 pts | $140 | 0.2% |
| Margaret Qualley | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.7 pts | $97 | 0.2% |
| Inde Navarrette | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $486 | 0.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 87¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$59.0K has been traded on this event in total, $18.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 305 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unlined-Pole | No | 305 | $37 |
| Flickering-Circadian | Yes | 122 | $107 |
| Digital-Basket | Yes | 116 | $102 |
| Gifted-Rancher | Yes | 93 | $82 |
| Tedious-Tumbler | Yes | 75 | $66 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 54 | $47 |
| Standard-Jackal | No | 51 | $6 |
| Scary-Holder | No | 50 | $6 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 39 | $34 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 33 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.4% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 55.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 55.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 55.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.9% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 04:03 PM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 01:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Anne Hathaway at 88.0%. Next is Penélope Cruz at 76.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-supporting-actress-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro
$59.0K in total volume, with $18.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Anne Hathaway, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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