As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Dune: Part Three at 94.0% in Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Nominations — $4.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Dune: Part Three, is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.1 pts; past week: -1.3 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, Dune: Part Three has traded between 83.0% and 95.0%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 95.0%.
Dune: Part Three is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dune: Part Three | 94¢ | 94.0% | -1.1 pts | $192 | 4.1% |
| The Odyssey | 86¢ | 86.5% | +1.5 pts | $1.3K | 26.8% |
| Project Hail Mary | 84¢ | 84.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Godzilla Minus Zero | 82¢ | 82.2% | -8.8 pts | $1.2K | 24.5% |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 42¢ | 42.0% | +1.0 pts | $1.3K | 26.7% |
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 34¢ | 34.5% | — | $847 | 18.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.7K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Each-Summary | Yes | 100 | $94 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 56 | $3 |
| 0x03547405… | No | 39 | $2 |
| Double-Redesign-Alibi | No | 15 | $1 |
| Gifted-Luck-Sort | Yes | 10 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 13.4% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 01:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.8% | $56 |
| Oct 24, 01:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.5% | $68 |
| Oct 24, 01:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $51 |
| Oct 24, 01:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 48.9% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.9% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 08:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 48.5% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 07:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 78.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 07:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 9.9% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 04:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 87.2% | $45 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Dune: Part Three at 94.0%. Next is The Odyssey at 86.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-visual-effects-nominations-20261013180153422?via=bro
$4.7K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Dune: Part Three, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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