As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Tito-Dante Marimpietri at 65.5% in Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner — $43.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Tito-Dante Marimpietri, is priced at 65.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: -8.5 pts; past month: +18.0 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Tito-Dante Marimpietri has traded between 32.0% and 82.5%. It opened at 43.5% and last traded at 65.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 65.5% |
Tito-Dante Marimpietri is favored at 65.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tito-Dante Marimpietri | 66¢ | 65.5% | -2.5 pts | $22.4K | 51.2% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Derek Giberson | 25¢ | 25.1% | +2.4 pts | $4.4K | 10.0% |
| Jim Lee | 5¢ | 5.5% | -1.6 pts | $12.8K | 29.1% |
| Henry Onwuachu | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.5 pts | $1.3K | 2.9% |
| Dave Westlake | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.5 pts | $1.5K | 3.5% |
| Michael Coons | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.5 pts | $1.4K | 3.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$43.8K has been traded on this event in total, $517 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oshawa, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Oshawa, Ontario.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,382 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 3,382 | $2.2K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,557 | $537 |
| Wordy-Duel | No | 1,305 | $450 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | No | 782 | $270 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 444 | $153 |
| 0x6b25c5c4… | No | 419 | $145 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 417 | $273 |
| Rowdy-Picket | Yes | 300 | $196 |
| Powerless-Bijou | No | 231 | $80 |
| Required-Horn | No | 222 | $77 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 32.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 39.7% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 04:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.7% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 01:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.7% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 02:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 12:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 12:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.0% | $51 |
| Oct 23, 12:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 31.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 12:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 31.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Tito-Dante Marimpietri at 65.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oshawa-mayoral-election-winner?via=bro
$43.8K in total volume, with $517 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Tito-Dante Marimpietri, priced at 65.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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