As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $75M at 4.1% in Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $235.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $75M, is priced at 4.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +1.8 pts; past month: -2.4 pts.
Since July 07, 2026, $75M has traded between 2.1% and 49.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 3.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 2.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 2.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 2.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 4.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 4.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3.9% |
$75M is favored at 4.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $75M | 4¢ | 4.1% | +0.2 pts | $8.1K | 3.4% |
| $50M | 4¢ | 3.8% | +1.0 pts | $19.9K | 8.5% |
| $100M | 3¢ | 3.0% | +0.1 pts | $59.2K | 25.2% |
| $700M | 2¢ | 2.2% | — | $21.7K | 9.2% |
| $1B | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $6.3K | 2.7% |
| $500M | 2¢ | 1.9% | — | $14.4K | 6.1% |
| $200M | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $24.2K | 10.3% |
| $3B | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.2 pts | $21.4K | 9.1% |
| $2B | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $16.0K | 6.8% |
| $4B | 1¢ | 1.5% | +0.5 pts | $13.0K | 5.5% |
| $300M | 1¢ | 1.5% | — | $31.1K | 13.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$235.2K has been traded on this event in total, $949 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 976 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rowdy-Innocent | No | 976 | $936 |
| 0x52eb1e57… | Yes | 708 | $29 |
| Frozen-Dialogue | No | 570 | $546 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 455 | $19 |
| Tricky-Family | No | 400 | $384 |
| Skeletal-Cheetah | No | 350 | $335 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 317 | $13 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 218 | $9 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 190 | $8 |
| Meager-Crewmate | Yes | 161 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.4% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 09:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.8% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 11:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $28 |
| Oct 20, 09:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $16 |
| Oct 20, 07:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $29 |
| Oct 20, 07:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $16 |
| Oct 20, 07:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.8% | $16 |
| Oct 20, 07:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.3% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 07:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.8% | $120 |
| Oct 18, 10:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.7% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $75M at 4.1%. Next is $50M at 3.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ostium-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$235.2K in total volume, with $949 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
$75M, priced at 4.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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