As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Mark Sutcliffe at 86.0% in Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner — $104.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Mark Sutcliffe, is priced at 86.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: +1.5 pts.
Since April 08, 2026, Mark Sutcliffe has traded between 50.5% and 93.5%. It opened at 61.0% and last traded at 86.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 86.0% |
Mark Sutcliffe is favored at 86.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sutcliffe | 86¢ | 86.0% | -0.5 pts | $52.3K | 50.1% |
| Jeff Leiper | 12¢ | 12.3% | -0.2 pts | $19.6K | 18.8% |
| Neil Saravanamuttoo | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $7.3K | 6.9% |
| Alex Lawson | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $19.2K | 18.4% |
| Catherine McKenney | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $6.0K | 5.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 85¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$104.4K has been traded on this event in total, $126 of it in the last 24 hours, across 39 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,394 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 5,394 | $755 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 4,202 | $588 |
| Ugly-Wren | Yes | 3,048 | $2.6K |
| Forceful-Wash | Yes | 1,952 | $1.7K |
| mrworldwide | Yes | 1,821 | $1.6K |
| Scared-Administrator | Yes | 1,689 | $1.5K |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 1,547 | $1.3K |
| Nautical-Understanding | Yes | 1,428 | $1.2K |
| Whimsical-Seller | No | 997 | $140 |
| Powerless-Bijou | No | 913 | $128 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.7% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 01:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.4% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 01:55 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.6% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 08:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 02:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.8% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 86.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 87.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 12:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 87.0% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 10:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 15.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 07:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.6% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Mark Sutcliffe at 86.0%. Next is Jeff Leiper at 12.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ottawa-mayoral-election-winner?via=bro
$104.4K in total volume, with $126 traded in the last 24 hours across 39 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Mark Sutcliffe, priced at 86.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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