As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No IPO before January 2027 at 92.5% in Oura IPO Closing Market Cap — $606.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No IPO before January 2027, is priced at 92.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +1.4 pts; past month: +92.0 pts.
Since May 26, 2026, No IPO before January 2027 has traded between 0.1% and 92.5%. It opened at 42.5% and last traded at 92.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 90.6% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.5% |
No IPO before January 2027 is favored at 92.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No IPO before January 2027 | 92¢ | 92.5% | -0.1 pts | $37.6K | 6.2% |
| $20B+ | 3¢ | 3.5% | -0.1 pts | $72.7K | 12.0% |
| $10B–$12.5B | 1¢ | 1.2% | +0.1 pts | $95.9K | 15.8% |
| $7.5B–$10B | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $104.5K | 17.2% |
| $15B–$17.5B | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $64.3K | 10.6% |
| <$7.5B | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $79.3K | 13.1% |
| $12.5B–$15B | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $106.6K | 17.6% |
| $17.5B–$20B | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $45.1K | 7.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 91¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$606.2K has been traded on this event in total, $40 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 16,063 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 16,063 | $1.2K |
| Proud-Orientation | Yes | 11,633 | $10.8K |
| Drab-Bustle | Yes | 4,324 | $4.0K |
| Medium-Spill | No | 2,820 | $211 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 2,698 | $202 |
| Circular-Afoul-Fallingout | Yes | 1,215 | $1.1K |
| Short-Term-Criminal | No | 1,059 | $79 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 961 | $889 |
| Quarterly-Comeback | Yes | 746 | $691 |
| Glass-Typewriter | Yes | 704 | $652 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 07:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.6% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.5% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 08:56 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.6% | $39 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 05:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.5% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.4% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 06:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 05:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 05:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 05:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No IPO before January 2027 at 92.5%. Next is $20B+ at 3.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/oura-ipo-closing-market-cap?via=bro
$606.2K in total volume, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No IPO before January 2027, priced at 92.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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