As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 84.5% in Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? — $21.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 84.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.6 pts; past week: +9.6 pts; past month: +13.1 pts.
Since January 12, 2026, No has traded between 50.0% and 99.4%. It opened at 76.5% and last traded at 83.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 90.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.4% |
No is favored at 84.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 84¢ | 84.5% | +3.6 pts | $21.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 16¢ | 15.6% | -3.6 pts | $21.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 28¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the number of unique humans verified on World Network, found in the “n_verifications” value at https://metrics.worldcoin.org/, exceeds 30,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official World Network metrics page, available at https://metrics.worldcoin.org/, specifically the “n_verifications” value, which represents the number of unique humans verified on World Network. This market is based solely on the “n_verifications” value posted on the official World Network metrics page (https://metrics.worldcoin.org/), not on data from third-party analytics dashboards or unofficial sources. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official World Network figures.
Resolution source: https://metrics.worldcoin.org/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 543 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row | Yes | 543 | $84 |
| Untimely-Charge | No | 289 | $244 |
| First-Combination | No | 228 | $192 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 121 | $19 |
| Genuine-Tribe | Yes | 100 | $16 |
| Cool-Storyboard | Yes | 100 | $16 |
| Delightful-Sister | Yes | 100 | $16 |
| Awkward-Sensitivity | No | 81 | $69 |
| Bumpy-Sloth | No | 64 | $54 |
| Shoddy-Tolerant | No | 61 | $52 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05, 01:02 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.7% | $591 |
| Sep 09, 10:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $0 |
| Sep 05, 09:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.6% | $3 |
| Sep 01, 06:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.3% | $216 |
| Aug 28, 10:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $2 |
| Aug 24, 09:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.1% | $151 |
| Aug 23, 07:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $0 |
| Aug 06, 03:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $5 |
| Aug 05, 11:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $5 |
| Aug 05, 11:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 84.5%. Next is Yes at 15.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/over-30m-humans-verified-on-world-network-by-december-31?via=bro
$21.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://metrics.worldcoin.org/.
No, priced at 84.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.