As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $50M at 15.5% in Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $179.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $50M, is priced at 15.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -6.0 pts; past month: -21.5 pts.
Since July 07, 2026, $50M has traded between 5.5% and 64.5%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 15.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 26.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 17.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 17.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 15.5% |
$50M is favored at 15.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $22.0K | 12.3% |
| $100M | 8¢ | 8.2% | — | $9.6K | 5.3% |
| $200M | 5¢ | 5.4% | -0.2 pts | $2.6K | 1.5% |
| $300M | 5¢ | 4.9% | — | $48.4K | 26.9% |
| $800M | 4¢ | 4.3% | -0.1 pts | $22.2K | 12.3% |
| $2B | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.1 pts | $13.5K | 7.5% |
| $500M | 4¢ | 3.7% | +0.1 pts | $31.4K | 17.5% |
| $1B | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $16.0K | 8.9% |
| $3B | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $14.0K | 7.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 17¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$179.7K has been traded on this event in total, $50 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/pacifica_fi
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,364 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quintessential-Aim | Yes | 6,364 | $986 |
| Odd-Relish | No | 2,616 | $2.2K |
| Friendly-Blister | No | 1,227 | $1.0K |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend | No | 961 | $812 |
| Extra-Small-Corral-Reception | No | 922 | $779 |
| Upbeat-Full | Yes | 810 | $126 |
| Small-Blowhole | No | 700 | $592 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 640 | $541 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 337 | $52 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 285 | $44 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.9% | $27 |
| Oct 23, 09:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.5% | $57 |
| Oct 23, 09:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.9% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 01:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.6% | $57 |
| Oct 22, 01:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $124 |
| Oct 22, 08:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $29 |
| Oct 21, 11:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $12 |
| Oct 21, 11:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $26 |
| Oct 21, 11:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.8% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $50M at 15.5%. Next is $100M at 8.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pacifica-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$179.7K in total volume, with $50 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/pacifica_fi.
$50M, priced at 15.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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