As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2029 at 25.0% in Payward announces bankruptcy by...? — $20.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2029, is priced at 25.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -2.5 pts; past month: -2.5 pts.
Since September 19, 2026, December 31, 2029 has traded between 25.0% and 27.5%. It opened at 27.5% and last traded at 25.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 27.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 26.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 25.0% |
December 31, 2029 is favored at 25.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2029 | 25¢ | 25.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.7K | 8.4% |
| December 31, 2028 | 13¢ | 13.0% | +1.0 pts | $7.7K | 38.1% |
| December 31, 2027 | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $10.8K | 53.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 23¢ / ask 27¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.2K has been traded on this event in total, $130 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Payward announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Payward. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 127 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Immediate-Student | No | 127 | $95 |
| Quizzical-Arrogance | Yes | 100 | $25 |
| Harmonious-Planning | Yes | 100 | $25 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 100 | $75 |
| Willing-Tragedy | No | 100 | $75 |
| 0x4e84ce15… | Yes | 77 | $19 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 50 | $12 |
| Ancient-Autoimmunity | Yes | 50 | $12 |
| Imaginary-Lyre | No | 50 | $38 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 08:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 07:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.1% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 03:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $38 |
| Oct 22, 09:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $94 |
| Oct 22, 03:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $58 |
| Oct 22, 03:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.5% | $58 |
| Oct 22, 03:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $18 |
| Oct 18, 10:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 04:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2029 at 25.0%. Next is December 31, 2028 at 13.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/payward-announces-bankruptcy-byptptpt?via=bro
$20.2K in total volume, with $130 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2029, priced at 25.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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