As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $41 trillion at 55.5% in Peak US National Debt before 2027? — $19.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $41 trillion, is priced at 55.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, $41 trillion has traded between 31.0% and 71.5%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 55.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.5% |
$41 trillion is favored at 55.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $41 trillion | 56¢ | 55.5% | +1.0 pts | $683 | 3.5% |
| $42 trillion | 4¢ | 3.6% | — | $10.4K | 54.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 63¢ (bid 24¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Resolution source: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 129 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unwieldy-Omega | No | 129 | $57 |
| Automatic-Hexagon | Yes | 43 | $24 |
| Perky-Ligula | Yes | 40 | $22 |
| Heavy-Gentleman | Yes | 36 | $20 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 29 | $13 |
| Untimely-Mood | Yes | 19 | $10 |
| Improbable-Responsibility | No | 11 | $5 |
| Sorrowful-Samovar | Yes | 9 | $5 |
| Organic-Dew | No | 9 | $4 |
| Cheap-Growth | Yes | 8 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 01:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $5 |
| Oct 12, 04:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.1% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 04:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $21 |
| Oct 12, 04:33 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $49 |
| Oct 04, 08:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Sep 25, 10:29 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.6% | $1 |
| Sep 23, 03:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $10 |
| Sep 23, 02:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.1% | $5 |
| Sep 22, 01:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $825 |
| Sep 18, 08:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is $41 trillion at 55.5%. Next is $42 trillion at 3.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027?via=bro
$19.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current.
$41 trillion, priced at 55.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.