As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Noah Wyle at 85.5% in People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026 — $131.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Noah Wyle, is priced at 85.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +7.0 pts.
Since October 09, 2026, Noah Wyle has traded between 68.0% and 85.5%. It opened at 68.0% and last traded at 85.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 85.5% |
Noah Wyle is favored at 85.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Wyle | 86¢ | 85.5% | — | $8.1K | 6.2% |
| Bad Bunny | 3¢ | 3.5% | -0.2 pts | $8.5K | 6.5% |
| Timothée Chalamet | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $2.5K | 1.9% |
| Clavicular | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $102.6K | 78.3% |
| Ryan Gosling | 2¢ | 2.4% | +1.1 pts | $465 | 0.4% |
| Ali G | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $4.2K | 3.2% |
| Travis Kelce | 1¢ | 1.2% | -3.2 pts | $695 | 0.5% |
| Michael B. Jordan | 1¢ | 1.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.7K | 1.3% |
| Hudson Williams | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $953 | 0.7% |
| Connor Storrie | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $1.3K | 1.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 85¢ / ask 86¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$131.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 69 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive. If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If no Sexiest Man Alive is announced for 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be People (https://people.com/) or a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,082 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 1,082 | $925 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 970 | $141 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 878 | $127 |
| Each-Summary | Yes | 703 | $601 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 160 | $23 |
| Fickle-Wharf | Yes | 127 | $108 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery | Yes | 106 | $91 |
| 0xd455b4d7… | Yes | 102 | $87 |
| Zealous-Vegetarian | No | 100 | $14 |
| Trusting-Withdrawal | No | 90 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $58 |
| Oct 23, 12:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.6% | $315 |
| Oct 23, 07:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 03:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 03:22 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.0% | $63 |
| Oct 22, 02:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $191 |
| Oct 22, 02:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 02:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 02:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $29 |
| Oct 22, 02:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $105 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Noah Wyle at 85.5%. Next is Bad Bunny at 3.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/peoples-sexiest-man-alive-2026?via=bro
$131.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 69 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Noah Wyle, priced at 85.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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