As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $200M at 52.5% in Perena FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $36.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $200M, is priced at 52.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +9.0 pts; past week: +21.5 pts; past month: +29.0 pts.
Since December 30, 2025, $200M has traded between 13.0% and 66.0%. It opened at 40.0% and last traded at 36.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 35.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 43.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 36.0% |
$200M is favored at 52.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 52¢ | 52.5% | +9.0 pts | $2.6K | 7.1% |
| $100M | 36¢ | 36.5% | +2.0 pts | $24.2K | 65.6% |
| $300M | 35¢ | 35.0% | -8.5 pts | $5.5K | 15.0% |
| $400M | 35¢ | 35.0% | +17.0 pts | $2.3K | 6.2% |
| $600M | 32¢ | 32.0% | +22.9 pts | $869 | 2.4% |
| $500M | 28¢ | 28.2% | -1.3 pts | $1.4K | 3.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 59¢ (bid 23¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$36.8K has been traded on this event in total, $60 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 158 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Massive-Cloves | No | 158 | $75 |
| Favorable-Crayfish | Yes | 75 | $39 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $21 |
| Lumbering-Propane | Yes | 39 | $20 |
| Unusual-Animal | No | 36 | $17 |
| Known-Use | No | 30 | $14 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 26 | $12 |
| Black-And-White-Insert | Yes | 21 | $11 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 18 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 01:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 12:53 AM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $19 |
| Oct 15, 12:33 AM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $18 |
| Oct 14, 05:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $10 |
| Oct 13, 05:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $79 |
| Oct 12, 10:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 12:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 12:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.2% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 12:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $200M at 52.5%. Next is $100M at 36.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/perena-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$36.8K in total volume, with $60 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
$200M, priced at 52.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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