Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No IPO before 2028 at 63.0% in Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap — $150.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $147.
Leading outcome
No IPO before 2028
63%
A 63.0% price implies roughly a 63-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −7.5 pts7D −3.5 pts
No IPO before 202863.0%
50B–75B9.0%
Bid
58¢
Ask
68¢
Spread
10¢
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Range since January 05, 2026: 24.0% – 78.5% · Opened at 47.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
Category
IPOs, AI, Big Tech, Business
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$150.2K
Volume (24h)
$147
Liquidity
$3.5K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
No IPO before 2028 — 63.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No IPO before 2028, is priced at 63.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -7.5 pts; past week: -3.5 pts.

Since January 05, 2026, No IPO before 2028 has traded between 24.0% and 78.5%. It opened at 47.5% and last traded at 69.5%.

DayClose
Oct 12, 202665.0%
Oct 13, 202664.5%
Oct 15, 202663.5%
Oct 16, 202664.5%
Oct 18, 202667.5%
Oct 19, 202668.5%
Oct 20, 202669.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No IPO before 2028 is favored at 63.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No IPO before 202863¢63.0%-7.5 pts$109.5K72.9%
50B–75B9¢9.0%-0.1 pts$7.2K4.8%
<20B7¢7.3%—$5.2K3.4%
75B–100B5¢4.6%—$4.6K3.0%
20B–30B4¢4.0%—$8.2K5.4%
30B–40B3¢3.3%—$5.3K3.5%
100B+3¢2.6%—$5.7K3.8%
40B–50B2¢2.5%+0.1 pts$4.7K3.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 58¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$150.2K has been traded on this event in total, $147 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,517 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,517$561
Courteous-Lyocell-BasementYes371$234
Multicolored-SentencingYes348$219
Lustrous-Cafe-ChurchYes307$193
Pastel-AchievementYes200$126
Belated-GlueNo138$51
Familiar-CriticNo136$50
Verifiable-MacawYes118$74
Loving-InglenookYes86$54
Superb-GlimpseYes80$50

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $88 at 59.8%SELL No — $40 at 95.0%SELL No — $37 at 93.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 02:46 PM ETYesSELL59.8%$88
Oct 21, 09:14 PM ETNoSELL27.0%$2
Oct 21, 09:14 PM ETNoBUY96.3%$8
Oct 21, 09:14 PM ETNoBUY93.1%$7
Oct 20, 02:31 PM ETYesBUY7.1%$3
Oct 15, 09:54 PM ETYesSELL64.0%$13
Oct 15, 12:02 PM ETNoBUY35.0%$7
Oct 15, 10:27 AM ETYesBUY65.0%$7
Oct 12, 02:58 PM ETYesSELL63.0%$5
Oct 12, 02:55 PM ETYesSELL63.0%$7

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No IPO before 2028 at 63.0%. Next is 50B–75B at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/perplexity-ipo-closing-market-cap?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap?

$150.2K in total volume, with $147 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap, according to Polymarket traders?

No IPO before 2028, priced at 63.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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