As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No IPO before 2028 at 63.0% in Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap — $150.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No IPO before 2028, is priced at 63.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -7.5 pts; past week: -3.5 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, No IPO before 2028 has traded between 24.0% and 78.5%. It opened at 47.5% and last traded at 69.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.5% |
No IPO before 2028 is favored at 63.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No IPO before 2028 | 63¢ | 63.0% | -7.5 pts | $109.5K | 72.9% |
| 50B–75B | 9¢ | 9.0% | -0.1 pts | $7.2K | 4.8% |
| <20B | 7¢ | 7.3% | — | $5.2K | 3.4% |
| 75B–100B | 5¢ | 4.6% | — | $4.6K | 3.0% |
| 20B–30B | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $8.2K | 5.4% |
| 30B–40B | 3¢ | 3.3% | — | $5.3K | 3.5% |
| 100B+ | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $5.7K | 3.8% |
| 40B–50B | 2¢ | 2.5% | +0.1 pts | $4.7K | 3.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 58¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$150.2K has been traded on this event in total, $147 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,517 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,517 | $561 |
| Courteous-Lyocell-Basement | Yes | 371 | $234 |
| Multicolored-Sentencing | Yes | 348 | $219 |
| Lustrous-Cafe-Church | Yes | 307 | $193 |
| Pastel-Achievement | Yes | 200 | $126 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 138 | $51 |
| Familiar-Critic | No | 136 | $50 |
| Verifiable-Macaw | Yes | 118 | $74 |
| Loving-Inglenook | Yes | 86 | $54 |
| Superb-Glimpse | Yes | 80 | $50 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 59.8% | $88 |
| Oct 21, 09:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 09:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.3% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 09:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.1% | $7 |
| Oct 20, 02:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.1% | $3 |
| Oct 15, 09:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 64.0% | $13 |
| Oct 15, 12:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 15, 10:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $7 |
| Oct 12, 02:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $5 |
| Oct 12, 02:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No IPO before 2028 at 63.0%. Next is 50B–75B at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/perplexity-ipo-closing-market-cap?via=bro
$150.2K in total volume, with $147 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No IPO before 2028, priced at 63.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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