As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price UTC Cajamarca at 94.0% in Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026) — $22.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, UTC Cajamarca, is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +6.0 pts; past week: +5.0 pts; past month: +8.0 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, UTC Cajamarca has traded between 27.0% and 91.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
UTC Cajamarca is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTC Cajamarca | 94¢ | 94.0% | +6.0 pts | $1.8K | 7.8% |
| Sport Huancayo | 50¢ | 49.6% | +46.6 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Cusco FC | 46¢ | 45.5% | +42.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ADT | 42¢ | 42.5% | +4.0 pts | $2.6K | 11.4% |
| Deportivo Moquegua | 39¢ | 39.0% | -14.5 pts | $3.9K | 17.2% |
| FC Cajamarca | 38¢ | 38.5% | +9.5 pts | $6.4K | 28.1% |
| Cienciano | 14¢ | 13.7% | — | $586 | 2.6% |
| Sport Boys | 12¢ | 11.5% | -1.0 pts | $3.3K | 14.2% |
| Atlético Grau | 9¢ | 9.0% | +0.5 pts | $242 | 1.1% |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 8¢ | 7.6% | -1.4 pts | $123 | 0.5% |
| Juan Pablo II | 7¢ | 7.4% | -11.0 pts | $566 | 2.5% |
| Comerciantes Unidos | 5¢ | 4.9% | +0.4 pts | $44 | 0.2% |
| Los Chankas | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $721 | 3.2% |
| Alianza Lima | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sporting Cristal | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $60 | 0.3% |
| Alianza Atlético Sullana | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $61 | 0.3% |
| Universitario | 1¢ | 0.9% | +0.3 pts | $187 | 0.8% |
| FBC Melgar | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $2.3K | 9.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$22.9K has been traded on this event in total, $496 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Peru Liga 1 at the conclusion of the 2026 Peru Liga 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Peru Liga 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Peru Liga 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Peru Liga 1. If the 2026 Peru Liga 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Peru Liga 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 144 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Showy-Disease | Yes | 144 | $135 |
| JonnyA | Yes | 100 | $94 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 91 | $5 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 80 | $5 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 74 | $4 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 60 | $56 |
| Helpful-Cheese | Yes | 40 | $38 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | No | 30 | $2 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 30 | $2 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 22 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 01:03 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $47 |
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 58.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 07:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 12:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 70.0% | $98 |
| Oct 23, 08:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 07:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $14 |
| Oct 23, 04:03 PM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 02:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is UTC Cajamarca at 94.0%. Next is Sport Huancayo at 49.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/peru-liga-1-teams-relegated-2026?via=bro
$22.9K in total volume, with $496 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
UTC Cajamarca, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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