As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 66.5% in Pete Hegseth impeached by...? — $177.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 66.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +10.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 35.5% and 67.0%. It opened at 35.5% and last traded at 66.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.5% |
June 30, 2027 is favored at 66.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 66¢ | 66.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.2K | 1.2% |
| March 31, 2027 | 52¢ | 52.5% | +5.0 pts | $2.3K | 1.3% |
| December 31, 2026 | 15¢ | 14.6% | +7.7 pts | $3.0K | 1.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$177.5K has been traded on this event in total, $2.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 450 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verifiable-Obstacle | Yes | 450 | $299 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 333 | $112 |
| Unusual-Snug-Bongo | No | 228 | $76 |
| Secret-Bolero-Injury | Yes | 190 | $126 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 79 | $26 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 58 | $19 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 57 | $38 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 21 | $14 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 20 | $7 |
| Weird-Appearance | Yes | 10 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.6% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.5% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 04:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.3% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 04:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.5% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.5% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 04:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.4% | $86 |
| Oct 24, 04:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 73.0% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 04:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.8% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 03:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 70.4% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 03:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.1% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 66.5%. Next is March 31, 2027 at 52.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-impeached-by-june-30?via=bro
$177.5K in total volume, with $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, 2027, priced at 66.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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